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El Salvador Trade Balance

External balance on goods and services  NE.RSB.GNFS.CD

El Salvador's trade balance was $-7.7B in 2025, ranked 152nd globally. This represents a 13.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1965–2025.

$-7.7B −$927.9M (-13.7%)
Year 2025 Rank #152 Global Peak $32.8M (1980) Source World Bank

El Salvador Trade Balance (1965–2025)

Overview

El Salvador's trade balance stood at $-7.7B in 2025, a decline of +$927.9M from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach $-7.7B by 2025. El Salvador ranked 152nd globally.

El Salvador’s trade balance has deteriorated sharply, reaching a deficit of –7,696,111,000.00 in 2025, the most negative figure recorded over a 61‑year span and placing the country 152nd globally. This stands in stark contrast to the modest surplus of 32,760,000.00 recorded in the peak year of 1980, indicating a long‑term shift from a narrow positive balance to a deepening deficit. The 2025 trough follows a trajectory that mirrors other small, open economies such as Kenya, whose 2025 deficit of –7,692,623,537.56 sits at a comparable rank, suggesting regional vulnerabilities to external demand shocks and commodity price volatility. Persistent current‑account pressures have been compounded by limited export diversification and a reliance on imported inputs, which together have amplified the gap between export earnings and import expenditures. If structural reforms enhance export competitiveness and reduce import dependence, the downward trend could be mitigated, potentially stabilising the trade balance in the medium term.

Data & projection

Year Trade Balance YoY change Rank
2027* trend $-8.5B - -
2026* trend $-8.1B - -
2025* trend $-7.7B - -
2025 $-7.7B −$927.9M #152
2024 $-6.8B −$362.9M #26
2023 $-6.4B +$1.2B #32
2022 $-7.6B −$543.7M #32
2021 $-7.1B −$2.7B #22
2020 $-4.3B −$1.8M #32
2019 $-4.3B +$286.6M #33
2018 $-4.6B −$564.7M #31
2017 $-4.1B −$211.0M #27
2016 $-3.8B +$275.4M #33
2015 $-4.1B +$170.2M #35
2014 $-4.3B +$326.0M #31
2013 $-4.6B −$232.9M #32
2012 $-4.4B −$62.4M #32
2011 $-4.3B −$699.2M #33
Show all years (1965-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Stagflation Risk
GDP growth below 2% combined with inflation above 8% and rising unemployment. The worst macro combination for policymakers.
Inflation 17.6% GDP growth 1.0% Unemployment 9.1%
Occurred 307 times, 117 successful
Inflation
26.9%
GDP growth
-4.2%
Unemployment
14.6%
Inflation
185.7%
GDP growth
-14.0%
Unemployment
60.8%
Inflation
14.4%
GDP growth
1.1%
Unemployment
9.1%
Inflation
33.9%
GDP growth
-1.5%
Unemployment
17.0%
Inflation
736.1%
GDP growth
1.7%
Unemployment
9.4%
Inflation
13.6%
GDP growth
1.3%
Unemployment
14.1%

Analysis

El Salvador matched the Stagflation Risk pattern in 1989. Historically, 38% of countries showing this pattern (117 out of 307) saw trade balance improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is El Salvador's trade balance?▾

El Salvador's trade balance was $-7.7B in 2025. Ranked 152nd globally. This represents a 13.7% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest trade balance in El Salvador?▾

El Salvador's trade balance peaked at $32.8M in 1980.

What was the lowest trade balance in El Salvador?▾

The lowest trade balance in El Salvador was $-7.7B in 2025.

How does El Salvador rank in trade balance?▾

El Salvador ranks 152nd globally in trade balance as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for trade balance?▾

The World Bank indicator code is NE.RSB.GNFS.CD. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected trade balance of El Salvador in 2025?▾

El Salvador's trade balance is projected to reach $-7.7B by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the trade balance of El Salvador in 2025?▾

The trade balance of El Salvador in 2025 was $-7.7B. This ranks 152nd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
El Salvador Trade Balance. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 19, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/el-salvador/trade-balance/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_el-salvador_trade-balance, title = {El Salvador Trade Balance}, url = {https://historysaid.com/el-salvador/trade-balance/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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