Guatemala Population Growth
Annual population growth rate SP.POP.GROW
Guatemala's population growth was 1.56% in 2025, ranked 77th globally. This represents a 1.1% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1961–2025.
Overview
Guatemala's population growth stood at 1.56% in 2025, a rise of +0.02pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.56% by 2025. Guatemala ranked 77th globally.
Guatemala’s population growth has slowed markedly since the early 1960s, when the rate peaked at 2.97 % and then fell to a trough of 1.38 % in 2021, before rebounding modestly to 1.56 % in 2025, ranking it 77th globally. The decline reflects a combination of declining fertility, urban migration and expanding access to education and health services, trends that mirror those observed in other middle‑income Latin American economies. By contrast, peer countries such as the United Kingdom and Czechia are experiencing slightly higher growth rates of 1.59 % in the same year, while Switzerland’s rate is lower at 1.47 %, underscoring regional variation in demographic dynamics. Over the 65‑year coverage period, Guatemala’s deceleration aligns with the broader demographic transition that many developing nations undergo as they move toward lower birth rates and higher life expectancy. If current policies continue to promote family planning and economic development, the growth rate is likely to remain near the low‑mid‑1 % range, with any significant shifts depending on changes in migration flows or unexpected fertility rebounds.
Data & projection
| Year | Population Growth | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027* trend | 1.62% | - | - |
| 2026* trend | 1.59% | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.56% | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.56% | +0.02pp | #77 |
| 2024 | 1.54% | +0.00pp | #148 |
| 2023 | 1.54% | +0.13pp | #140 |
| 2022 | 1.41% | +0.03pp | #134 |
| 2021 | 1.38% | −0.09pp | #138 |
| 2020 | 1.47% | −0.05pp | #137 |
| 2019 | 1.52% | −0.15pp | #134 |
| 2018 | 1.67% | −0.15pp | #139 |
| 2017 | 1.82% | −0.02pp | #148 |
| 2016 | 1.84% | +0.01pp | #151 |
| 2015 | 1.83% | −0.06pp | #144 |
| 2014 | 1.90% | −0.06pp | #145 |
| 2013 | 1.95% | −0.04pp | #146 |
| 2012 | 1.99% | −0.00pp | #150 |
| 2011 | 1.99% | +0.01pp | #154 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Guatemala matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2024. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw population growth improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Guatemala's population growth was 1.56% in 2025. Ranked 77th globally. This represents a 1.1% increase from the previous year.
Guatemala's population growth peaked at 2.97% in 1961.
The lowest population growth in Guatemala was 1.38% in 2021.
Guatemala ranks 77th globally in population growth as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.GROW. Data sourced from World Bank.
Guatemala's population growth is projected to reach 1.56% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The population growth of Guatemala in 2025 was 1.56%. This ranks 77th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_guatemala_population-growth,
title = {Guatemala Population Growth},
url = {https://historysaid.com/guatemala/population-growth/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}