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Currency Crisis Pattern
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Argentina
Currency Crisis Pattern
Rapid currency depreciation (>30% YoY) combined with reserve drawdown and inflation surge. Often precedes emergency rate hikes.
4 occurrences detected, 1 successful
Argentina 2023
Inflation
133.5%
Reserves YoY
-48.5%
FX YoY
+126.8%
Argentina 2020
Inflation
42.0%
Reserves YoY
-12.2%
FX YoY
+46.5%
24 mo later
72.4%
Argentina 2019
Inflation
53.5%
Reserves YoY
-32.2%
FX YoY
+71.4%
24 mo later
48.4%
Argentina 2002
Inflation
25.9%
Reserves YoY
-27.9%
FX YoY
+206.5%
24 mo later
4.4%
Related
Argentina
Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Fiscal Dominance Trap
Export Boom Cycle
Stagflation Risk
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