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Currency Crisis Pattern

Rapid currency depreciation (>30% YoY) combined with reserve drawdown and inflation surge. Often precedes emergency rate hikes.
4 occurrences detected, 1 successful
Inflation
38.1%
Reserves YoY
-30.4%
FX YoY
+33.2%
Inflation
31.3%
Reserves YoY
-47.5%
FX YoY
+42.5%
24 mo later
22.8%
Inflation
40.2%
Reserves YoY
-42.2%
FX YoY
+104.4%
24 mo later
9.4%
Inflation
39.8%
Reserves YoY
-46.8%
FX YoY
+72.3%
24 mo later
25.2%
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