Home → Patterns → Export Boom Cycle → Trinidad and Tobago

Export Boom Cycle

Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.

13 occurrences detected, 11 successful

Trinidad and Tobago 2014

Reserves YoY

+12.9%

GDP growth

3.7%

C/A balance

14.1%

24 mo later

-7.5%

Trinidad and Tobago 2008

Reserves YoY

+40.5%

GDP growth

3.4%

C/A balance

30.5%

24 mo later

3.3%

Trinidad and Tobago 2006

Reserves YoY

+32.3%

GDP growth

13.2%

C/A balance

38.8%

24 mo later

3.4%

Trinidad and Tobago 2005

Reserves YoY

+56.3%

GDP growth

6.2%

C/A balance

24.3%

24 mo later

4.8%

Trinidad and Tobago 2004

Reserves YoY

+29.0%

GDP growth

8.0%

C/A balance

13.5%

24 mo later

13.2%

Trinidad and Tobago 2003

Reserves YoY

+20.9%

GDP growth

14.4%

C/A balance

8.7%

24 mo later

6.2%

Trinidad and Tobago 2001

Reserves YoY

+37.1%

GDP growth

4.2%

C/A balance

4.7%

24 mo later

14.4%

Trinidad and Tobago 2000

Reserves YoY

+45.7%

GDP growth

6.9%

C/A balance

6.7%

24 mo later

7.9%

Trinidad and Tobago 1999

Reserves YoY

+20.3%

GDP growth

8.0%

C/A balance

0.4%

24 mo later

4.2%

Trinidad and Tobago 1996

Reserves YoY

+48.7%

GDP growth

7.1%

C/A balance

1.8%

24 mo later

8.1%

Trinidad and Tobago 1994

Reserves YoY

+63.5%

GDP growth

3.6%

C/A balance

4.4%

24 mo later

7.1%

Trinidad and Tobago 1981

Reserves YoY

+19.8%

GDP growth

4.6%

C/A balance

5.9%

24 mo later

-10.3%

Trinidad and Tobago 1980

Reserves YoY

+29.8%

GDP growth

10.4%

C/A balance

5.7%

24 mo later

3.8%

Trinidad and Tobago Orthodox Tightening Cycle Currency Crisis Pattern Fiscal Dominance Trap Stagflation Risk Insights