Home → Patterns → Orthodox Tightening Cycle → Angola

Orthodox Tightening Cycle

Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
10 occurrences detected, 6 successful
Angola 2024
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Angola 2021
Inflation
25.8%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-6.4pp
Reserves YoY
+5.0%
24 mo later
13.6%
Angola 2019
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
19.3%
Gap
+2.2pp
Reserves YoY
+6.0%
24 mo later
25.8%
Angola 2016
Inflation
30.7%
Rate
15.8%
Gap
-14.9pp
Reserves YoY
-0.5%
24 mo later
19.6%
Angola 2005
Inflation
23.0%
Rate
67.7%
Gap
+44.8pp
Reserves YoY
+131.7%
24 mo later
12.3%
Angola 2004
Inflation
43.5%
Rate
82.3%
Gap
+38.8pp
Reserves YoY
+117.5%
24 mo later
13.3%
Angola 2003
Inflation
98.2%
Rate
96.1%
Gap
-2.1pp
Reserves YoY
+68.9%
24 mo later
23.0%
Angola 2000
Inflation
325.0%
Rate
103.2%
Gap
-221.8pp
Reserves YoY
+143.8%
24 mo later
108.9%
Angola 1999
Inflation
248.2%
Rate
80.3%
Gap
-167.9pp
Reserves YoY
+142.7%
24 mo later
152.6%
Angola 1996
Inflation
4145.1%
Rate
217.9%
Gap
-3927.2pp
Reserves YoY
+143.4%
24 mo later
107.3%
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