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Tajikistan Poverty Rate

Poverty headcount ratio at $2.15/day  SI.POV.DDAY

Tajikistan's poverty rate was 5.90% in 2025, ranked 13th globally. This represents a 3.3% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1999–2025.

5.90% −0.20pp (-3.3%)
Year 2025 Rank #13 Global Peak 79.40% (1999) Source World Bank

Tajikistan Poverty Rate (1999–2025)

Overview

Tajikistan's poverty rate stood at 5.90% in 2025, a decline of +0.20pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 5.90% by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 13th globally.

Tajikistan’s poverty rate has fallen dramatically from an all‑time peak of 79.40 % in 1999 to a trough of 5.90 % in 2025, placing the country 13th lowest worldwide according to the World Bank. This decline, recorded over an 11‑year coverage period, reflects sustained improvements in income distribution, rural development programmes and social safety nets that have lifted the majority of the population above the international poverty line. The 2025 figure is marginally higher than India’s 6.16 % and El Salvador’s 5.65 %, but lower than Colombia’s 7.54 % and comparable to Ecuador’s 5.18 %, underscoring Tajikistan’s position among the better‑performing peers in the region. Continued progress will depend on maintaining macro‑economic stability, expanding diversified employment opportunities and strengthening public investment in health and education, which together could push the poverty rate even lower in the coming years.

Data & projection

Year Poverty Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend 4.38% - -
2026* trend 5.14% - -
2025* trend 5.90% - -
2025 5.90% −0.20pp #13
2024 6.10% −1.20pp #11
2023 7.30% −1.60pp #49
2022 8.90% −0.20pp #61
2021 9.10% −4.20pp #63
2015 13.30% −2.40pp #70
2009 15.70% −8.50pp #70
2007 24.20% −13.00pp #62
2004 37.20% −18.80pp #68
2003 56.00% −23.40pp #63
1999 79.40% – #42
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +54.0% GDP growth 8.0% C/A balance 15.3%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw poverty rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tajikistan's poverty rate?▾

Tajikistan's poverty rate was 5.90% in 2025. Ranked 13th globally. This represents a 3.3% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest poverty rate in Tajikistan?▾

Tajikistan's poverty rate peaked at 79.40% in 1999.

What was the lowest poverty rate in Tajikistan?▾

The lowest poverty rate in Tajikistan was 5.90% in 2025.

How does Tajikistan rank in poverty rate?▾

Tajikistan ranks 13th globally in poverty rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for poverty rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SI.POV.DDAY. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected poverty rate of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

Tajikistan's poverty rate is projected to reach 5.90% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the poverty rate of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

The poverty rate of Tajikistan in 2025 was 5.90%. This ranks 13th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Tajikistan Poverty Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 19, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/poverty-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_poverty-rate, title = {Tajikistan Poverty Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/poverty-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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