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Tajikistan Rule of Law

Rule of Law  RL.EST

Tajikistan's rule of law was -1.27 in 2025, ranked 178th globally. This represents a 0.6% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank WGI, covering 1996–2025.

-1.27 +0.01 (+0.6%)
Year 2025 Rank #178 Global Peak -1.01 (2014) Source World Bank WGI

Tajikistan Rule of Law (1996–2025)

Overview

Tajikistan's rule of law stood at -1.27 in 2025, a rise of +0.01 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach -1.27 by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 178th globally.

Tajikistan’s rule‑of‑law score on the World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators has improved modestly since the all‑time trough of –1.65 in 1996, climbing to a peak of –1.01 in 2014 before slipping to –1.27 in 2025, placing the country 178th out of 193 nations. The 26‑year series shows a gradual upward trajectory in the early 2000s, yet recent declines suggest persistent weaknesses in judicial independence, contract enforcement and corruption control. Tajikistan’s 2025 rating is closely aligned with Iran (–1.22) and Bolivia (–1.28), indicating a similar governance environment to other lower‑middle‑income states that struggle to translate legal reforms into consistent practice. The modest rebound after 1996 reflects limited institutional capacity building, while the post‑2014 downturn coincides with fiscal pressures and political centralisation that have constrained further progress. Continued investment in legal infrastructure, transparent dispute‑resolution mechanisms and anti‑corruption measures will be essential to reverse the recent slide and sustain a forward‑looking improvement in the rule‑of‑law trajectory.

Data & projection

Year Rule of Law YoY change Rank
2026* trend -1.27 - -
2025* trend -1.27 - -
2025 -1.27 +0.01 #178
2023 -1.28 −0.02 #183
2022 -1.26 −0.05 #181
2021 -1.21 +0.04 #182
2020 -1.25 +0.00 #185
2019 -1.25 +0.05 #186
2018 -1.30 +0.07 #188
2017 -1.37 −0.21 #188
2016 -1.17 −0.09 #182
2015 -1.08 −0.06 #178
2014 -1.01 +0.25 #174
2013 -1.26 −0.06 #186
2012 -1.21 +0.02 #184
2011 -1.23 −0.02 #183
2010 -1.21 +0.06 #182
Show all years (1996-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +54.0% GDP growth 8.0% C/A balance 15.3%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw rule of law improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tajikistan's rule of law?▾

Tajikistan's rule of law was -1.27 in 2025. Ranked 178th globally. This represents a 0.6% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest rule of law in Tajikistan?▾

Tajikistan's rule of law peaked at -1.01 in 2014.

What was the lowest rule of law in Tajikistan?▾

The lowest rule of law in Tajikistan was -1.65 in 1996.

How does Tajikistan rank in rule of law?▾

Tajikistan ranks 178th globally in rule of law as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for rule of law?▾

The World Bank indicator code is RL.EST. Data sourced from World Bank WGI.

What is the projected rule of law of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

Tajikistan's rule of law is projected to reach -1.27 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the rule of law of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

The rule of law of Tajikistan in 2025 was -1.27. This ranks 178th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Tajikistan Rule of Law. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/rule-of-law/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_rule-of-law, title = {Tajikistan Rule of Law}, url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/rule-of-law/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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