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Tajikistan Youth Unemployment

Youth unemployment (ages 15-24)  SL.UEM.1524.ZS

Tajikistan's youth unemployment was 14.59% in 2025, ranked 104th globally. This represents a 0.3% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1991–2025.

14.59% +0.04pp (+0.3%)
Year 2025 Rank #104 Global Peak 15.66% (2020) Source World Bank

Tajikistan Youth Unemployment (1991–2025)

Overview

Tajikistan's youth unemployment stood at 14.59% in 2025, a rise of +0.04pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 14.36% by 2026. Tajikistan ranked 104th globally.

Tajikistan’s youth unemployment rate has risen sharply from a trough of 2.72 % in 1991 to an all‑time peak of 15.66 % in 2020, before easing slightly to 14.59 % in 2025, placing the country at 104th globally. The rapid increase over the 35‑year span reflects structural labor‑market constraints, limited private‑sector growth, and demographic pressures as the share of young people entering the labour force has expanded. Compared with peers of similar rank, Tajikistan’s rate is marginally lower than the United Kingdom’s 14.65 % and higher than New Zealand’s 14.36 %, indicating that its youth unemployment remains relatively severe within this group. The modest decline from the 2020 peak suggests that recent policy measures, such as vocational training programmes and modest incentives for youth entrepreneurship, may be beginning to bear fruit. Continued investment in skill development and the diversification of the economy will be critical to sustain the downward momentum and prevent a reversal of the recent improvement.

Data & projection

Year Youth Unemployment YoY change Rank
2028* trend 14.16% - -
2027* trend 14.26% - -
2026* trend 14.36% - -
2025 14.59% +0.04pp #104
2024 14.56% +0.04pp #103
2023 14.51% +0.03pp #104
2022 14.48% −0.64pp #102
2021 15.12% −0.54pp #94
2020 15.66% +1.50pp #97
2019 14.16% +0.10pp #101
2018 14.06% +0.10pp #99
2017 13.96% +0.10pp #96
2016 13.85% +0.13pp #92
2015 13.72% +0.14pp #90
2014 13.58% +0.14pp #87
2013 13.44% +0.13pp #83
2012 13.31% +0.11pp #82
2011 13.20% +0.12pp #81
Show all years (1991-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +54.0% GDP growth 8.0% C/A balance 15.3%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw youth unemployment improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tajikistan's youth unemployment?▾

Tajikistan's youth unemployment was 14.59% in 2025. Ranked 104th globally. This represents a 0.3% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest youth unemployment in Tajikistan?▾

Tajikistan's youth unemployment peaked at 15.66% in 2020.

What was the lowest youth unemployment in Tajikistan?▾

The lowest youth unemployment in Tajikistan was 2.72% in 1991.

How does Tajikistan rank in youth unemployment?▾

Tajikistan ranks 104th globally in youth unemployment as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for youth unemployment?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SL.UEM.1524.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected youth unemployment of Tajikistan in 2026?▾

Tajikistan's youth unemployment is projected to reach 14.36% by 2026 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the youth unemployment of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

The youth unemployment of Tajikistan in 2025 was 14.59%. This ranks 104th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Tajikistan Youth Unemployment. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 22, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/youth-unemployment/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_youth-unemployment, title = {Tajikistan Youth Unemployment}, url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/youth-unemployment/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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