Tonga Birth Rate
Crude birth rate per 1,000 people SP.DYN.CBRT.IN
Tonga's birth rate was 22.8 in 2025, ranked 57th globally. This represents a 1.4% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Tonga's birth rate stood at 22.8 in 2025, a decline of +0.3 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 22.8 by 2025. Tonga ranked 57th globally.
Tonga’s birth rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year series, slipping from an all‑time peak of 44.30 births per 1,000 people in 1960 to a trough of 22.79 in 2025, placing the kingdom at 57th in the world. This halving reflects sustained declines in fertility that parallel broader Pacific trends, with Tuvalu registering a comparable 22.55 and Lesotho 22.73 in the same year. The steepest reductions occurred during the 1980s and 1990s, when health‑service expansion and increased female schooling accelerated the demographic transition. Despite the sharp drop, Tonga’s birth rate remains modestly higher than the regional average, suggesting that cultural norms and limited access to family‑planning resources still exert influence. Continued improvements in reproductive health provision and sustained socioeconomic development are likely to keep the rate on a downward path, potentially pushing it below 20 births per 1,000 by the early 2030s if current patterns persist.
Data & projection
| Year | Birth Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 22.6 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 22.8 | - | - |
| 2025 | 22.8 | −0.3 | #57 |
| 2023 | 23.1 | −0.2 | #160 |
| 2022 | 23.4 | −0.2 | #159 |
| 2021 | 23.5 | −0.1 | #159 |
| 2020 | 23.6 | −0.2 | #157 |
| 2019 | 23.8 | −0.3 | #155 |
| 2018 | 24.1 | −0.4 | #154 |
| 2017 | 24.5 | −0.7 | #154 |
| 2016 | 25.2 | −0.6 | #154 |
| 2015 | 25.8 | −0.6 | #155 |
| 2014 | 26.4 | −0.5 | #155 |
| 2013 | 26.9 | −0.4 | #155 |
| 2012 | 27.3 | −0.4 | #156 |
| 2011 | 27.7 | −0.4 | #158 |
| 2010 | 28.0 | −0.4 | #157 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Tonga matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw birth rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Tonga's birth rate was 22.8 in 2025. Ranked 57th globally. This represents a 1.4% decrease from the previous year.
Tonga's birth rate peaked at 44.3 in 1960.
The lowest birth rate in Tonga was 22.8 in 2025.
Tonga ranks 57th globally in birth rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.CBRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tonga's birth rate is projected to reach 22.8 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The birth rate of Tonga in 2025 was 22.8. This ranks 57th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tonga_birth-rate,
title = {Tonga Birth Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tonga/birth-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}