Tuvalu Population Growth
Annual population growth rate SP.POP.GROW
Tuvalu's population growth was -1.79% in 2025, ranked 209th globally. This represents a 2.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1961–2025.
Overview
Tuvalu's population growth stood at -1.79% in 2025, a decline of +0.05pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach -1.79% by 2025. Tuvalu ranked 209th globally.
Tuvalu’s population growth has shifted from modest expansion in the early 1960s, when the annual increase was 0.89%, to a persistent decline that culminated in a -1.79 % rate in 2025, ranking it 209th globally. The highest growth episode occurred in 1975 with a peak of 4.94 %, reflecting a period of high fertility and limited out‑migration, while the deepest contraction was recorded in 2022 at -2.00 %, driven by combined effects of net emigration, low birth rates and heightened climate‑related displacement. Compared with peers, Tuvalu’s recent decline is slightly steeper than Albania’s -1.54 % rate but less severe than American Samoa’s -2.03 % and the Northern Mariana Islands’ -2.34 %. Over the 65‑year span, the island nation’s demographic trajectory has moved from growth to shrinkage, suggesting that without substantial policy interventions to retain residents or attract newcomers, the negative growth pattern is likely to continue.
Data & projection
| Year | Population Growth | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027* trend | -1.76% | - | - |
| 2026* trend | -1.77% | - | - |
| 2025* trend | -1.79% | - | - |
| 2025 | -1.79% | −0.05pp | #209 |
| 2024 | -1.75% | +0.03pp | #6 |
| 2023 | -1.78% | +0.22pp | #7 |
| 2022 | -2.00% | −0.01pp | #6 |
| 2021 | -1.99% | −0.26pp | #6 |
| 2020 | -1.74% | −0.14pp | #3 |
| 2019 | -1.59% | −0.50pp | #6 |
| 2018 | -1.09% | −0.53pp | #14 |
| 2017 | -0.56% | −0.26pp | #20 |
| 2016 | -0.30% | −0.11pp | #30 |
| 2015 | -0.19% | −0.04pp | #30 |
| 2014 | -0.15% | −0.77pp | #31 |
| 2013 | 0.61% | −0.81pp | #76 |
| 2012 | 1.42% | −0.13pp | #125 |
| 2011 | 1.55% | +0.10pp | #134 |
Analysis
Tuvalu's population growth was -1.79% in 2025, a decline of −0.05pp from 2024. Based on trends, estimated -1.79% by 2025.
Frequently Asked Questions
Tuvalu's population growth was -1.79% in 2025. Ranked 209th globally. This represents a 2.7% decrease from the previous year.
Tuvalu's population growth peaked at 4.94% in 1975.
The lowest population growth in Tuvalu was -2.00% in 2022.
Tuvalu ranks 209th globally in population growth as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.GROW. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tuvalu's population growth is projected to reach -1.79% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The population growth of Tuvalu in 2025 was -1.79%. This ranks 209th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tuvalu_population-growth,
title = {Tuvalu Population Growth},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tuvalu/population-growth/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}