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Bulgaria Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Bulgaria's dependency ratio was 57.65 in 2025, ranked 90th globally. This represents a 0.3% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

57.65 +0.16 (+0.3%)
Year 2025 Rank #90 Global Peak 57.65 (2025) Source World Bank

Bulgaria Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Bulgaria's dependency ratio stood at 57.65 in 2025, a rise of +0.16 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 57.65 by 2025. Bulgaria ranked 90th globally.

Bulgaria's dependency ratio, a key indicator of the proportion of its population that is either too young or too old to work, has experienced significant fluctuations over the past six decades. At 57.65, the current dependency ratio ranks Bulgaria 90th globally, with Denmark ranking closest at 57.74. Notably, Bulgaria's all-time peak of 57.65 was reached in 2025, while its all-time trough of 44.74 occurred in 2006, marking a decline of nearly 13 percentage points over the past two decades. This downward trend is a significant improvement for the country, as a lower dependency ratio generally indicates a more robust workforce and potentially higher economic growth. However, Bulgaria's aging population and low fertility rates pose ongoing challenges to sustaining this trend, and a decline in working-age population due to emigration and aging may hinder future economic growth unless the government implements effective policies to address these issues.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 58.12 - -
2026* trend 57.89 - -
2025* trend 57.65 - -
2025 57.65 +0.16 #90
2024 57.49 +0.33 #129
2023 57.16 +0.33 #128
2022 56.83 +0.12 #123
2021 56.71 +0.17 #123
2020 56.54 +0.62 #123
2019 55.92 +0.95 #119
2018 54.97 +1.03 #116
2017 53.94 +1.04 #112
2016 52.91 +1.12 #105
2015 51.78 +1.23 #97
2014 50.56 +1.25 #93
2013 49.31 +1.14 #81
2012 48.17 +1.03 #74
2011 47.13 +0.93 #63
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 15.3% Real rate -10.5%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Bulgaria matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Bulgaria's dependency ratio?▾

Bulgaria's dependency ratio was 57.65 in 2025. Ranked 90th globally. This represents a 0.3% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Bulgaria?▾

Bulgaria's dependency ratio peaked at 57.65 in 2025.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Bulgaria?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Bulgaria was 44.74 in 2006.

How does Bulgaria rank in dependency ratio?▾

Bulgaria ranks 90th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Bulgaria in 2025?▾

Bulgaria's dependency ratio is projected to reach 57.65 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Bulgaria in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Bulgaria in 2025 was 57.65. This ranks 90th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Bulgaria Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/bulgaria/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_bulgaria_dependency-ratio, title = {Bulgaria Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/bulgaria/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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