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China Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

China's dependency ratio was 44.62 in 2025, ranked 181st globally. This represents a 0.8% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

44.62 +0.38 (+0.8%)
Year 2025 Rank #181 Global Peak 82.30 (1966) Source World Bank

China Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

China's dependency ratio stood at 44.62 in 2025, a rise of +0.38 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 44.62 by 2025. China ranked 181st globally.

China's dependency ratio has shown significant fluctuations over the past 66 years, ranging from an all-time high of 82.30 in 1966, during the country's tumultuous Great Leap Forward era, to a low of 37.24 in 2010. The ratio has generally trended downward since then, with the latest available figure standing at 44.62, placing China at #181 globally. Compared to its peer countries, such as Cyprus with a ratio of 44.81, China's dependency ratio is relatively low. This decrease in the ratio is largely attributed to a decline in the elderly population and an increase in working-age individuals. However, China's aging population is expected to have a significant impact on the dependency ratio in the coming years. If the country fails to implement effective policies to address its rapidly aging population, the dependency ratio is likely to increase, placing additional pressure on the country's social security systems.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 44.73 - -
2026* trend 44.68 - -
2025* trend 44.62 - -
2025 44.62 +0.38 #181
2024 44.24 −0.49 #32
2023 44.73 +0.00 #36
2022 44.73 +0.24 #40
2021 44.48 +0.39 #38
2020 44.09 +0.71 #38
2019 43.39 +0.85 #33
2018 42.54 +1.03 #30
2017 41.51 +1.07 #29
2016 40.44 +0.83 #26
2015 39.61 +0.73 #22
2014 38.88 +0.64 #20
2013 38.24 +0.52 #15
2012 37.72 +0.35 #15
2011 37.36 +0.12 #12
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +14.5% GDP growth 7.8% C/A balance 1.5%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

China matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2013. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is China's dependency ratio?▾

China's dependency ratio was 44.62 in 2025. Ranked 181st globally. This represents a 0.8% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in China?▾

China's dependency ratio peaked at 82.30 in 1966.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in China?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in China was 37.24 in 2010.

How does China rank in dependency ratio?▾

China ranks 181st globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of China in 2025?▾

China's dependency ratio is projected to reach 44.62 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of China in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of China in 2025 was 44.62. This ranks 181st in the world.

Cite this page

APA
China Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 10, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/china/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_china_dependency-ratio, title = {China Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/china/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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