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Guatemala Government Effectiveness

Government Effectiveness  GE.EST

Guatemala's government effectiveness was -1.02 in 2025, ranked 169th globally. This represents a 13.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank WGI, covering 1996–2025.

-1.02 −0.12 (-13.7%)
Year 2025 Rank #169 Global Peak -0.35 (1998) Source World Bank WGI

Guatemala Government Effectiveness (1996–2025)

Overview

Guatemala's government effectiveness stood at -1.02 in 2025, a decline of +0.12 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach -1.02 by 2025. Guatemala ranked 169th globally.

Guatemala’s Government Effectiveness score has deteriorated markedly over the 26‑year series, slipping from a modest –0.45 in 1996 to –1.02 in 2025, the lowest point recorded and the country’s all‑time trough. The brief improvement in 1998, when the index rose to its peak of –0.35, was not sustained, and the subsequent decline has been steady, placing Guatemala at rank 169 globally. Compared with regional peers, Honduras registers a slightly better –0.98, while the Kyrgyz Republic trails marginally at –1.03, underscoring that Guatemala now lags behind most middle‑income economies in delivering quality public services, policy formulation, and implementation. The persistent slide reflects chronic challenges in bureaucratic capacity, accountability and regulatory quality, which have intensified in the post‑2000 era. If reforms strengthen institutional capacity and enhance merit‑based recruitment, the downward trajectory could be reversed, offering a modest prospect for incremental improvement in the coming years.

Data & projection

Year Government Effectiveness YoY change Rank
2026* trend -1.07 - -
2025* trend -1.02 - -
2025 -1.02 −0.12 #169
2023 -0.90 +0.01 #165
2022 -0.91 −0.12 #169
2021 -0.78 −0.07 #157
2020 -0.71 +0.01 #150
2019 -0.73 −0.01 #149
2018 -0.72 −0.03 #154
2017 -0.69 −0.04 #150
2016 -0.65 +0.12 #144
2015 -0.77 −0.01 #158
2014 -0.76 −0.04 #156
2013 -0.73 +0.06 #147
2012 -0.79 −0.06 #151
2011 -0.72 −0.00 #148
2010 -0.72 −0.01 #144
Show all years (1996-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +14.6% GDP growth 3.7% C/A balance 2.9%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Guatemala matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2024. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw government effectiveness improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Guatemala's government effectiveness?▾

Guatemala's government effectiveness was -1.02 in 2025. Ranked 169th globally. This represents a 13.7% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest government effectiveness in Guatemala?▾

Guatemala's government effectiveness peaked at -0.35 in 1998.

What was the lowest government effectiveness in Guatemala?▾

The lowest government effectiveness in Guatemala was -1.02 in 2025.

How does Guatemala rank in government effectiveness?▾

Guatemala ranks 169th globally in government effectiveness as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for government effectiveness?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GE.EST. Data sourced from World Bank WGI.

What is the projected government effectiveness of Guatemala in 2025?▾

Guatemala's government effectiveness is projected to reach -1.02 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the government effectiveness of Guatemala in 2025?▾

The government effectiveness of Guatemala in 2025 was -1.02. This ranks 169th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Guatemala Government Effectiveness. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 30, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/guatemala/government-effectiveness/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_guatemala_government-effectiveness, title = {Guatemala Government Effectiveness}, url = {https://historysaid.com/guatemala/government-effectiveness/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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