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Guatemala Trade Balance

External balance on goods and services  NE.RSB.GNFS.CD

Guatemala's trade balance was $-21.3B in 2025, ranked 167th globally. This represents a 20.9% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

$-21.3B −$3.7B (-20.9%)
Year 2025 Rank #167 Global Peak $105.6M (1986) Source World Bank

Guatemala Trade Balance (1960–2025)

Overview

Guatemala's trade balance stood at $-21.3B in 2025, a decline of +$3.7B from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach $-21.3B by 2025. Guatemala ranked 167th globally.

Guatemala’s trade balance has deteriorated sharply, reaching a deficit of ‑21,286,758,044.75 in 2025, the country’s all‑time trough and the 167th worst position among the World Bank’s 215 reporting economies. By contrast, the balance turned positive in 1986, when a modest surplus of 105,570,776.26 was recorded, marking the only peak in the 66‑year series that stretches back to 1960. The current deficit far exceeds the early‑recorded figure of ‑19,800,000.00 and dwarfs the modest surpluses of the 1980s, reflecting persistent current‑account pressures from declining commodity exports and rising import demand for manufactured goods. Among peers with similar rankings, Colombia posted a comparable shortfall of ‑19,991,258,894.65, while Uzbekistan’s deficit was slightly larger at ‑21,374,171,279.31, underscoring a regional pattern of widening trade gaps. Unless export diversification accelerates or import substitution policies gain traction, Guatemala’s trade balance is likely to remain in deep deficit, perpetuating its low global standing.

Data & projection

Year Trade Balance YoY change Rank
2027* trend $-26.4B - -
2026* trend $-23.9B - -
2025* trend $-21.3B - -
2025 $-21.3B −$3.7B #167
2024 $-17.6B −$1.9B #14
2023 $-15.7B +$75.5M #15
2022 $-15.8B −$3.7B #17
2021 $-12.1B −$5.5B #15
2020 $-6.6B +$1.4B #21
2019 $-7.9B −$116.8M #22
2018 $-7.8B −$1.3B #23
2017 $-6.5B −$649.0M #21
2016 $-5.9B +$507.2M #25
2015 $-6.4B +$343.8M #24
2014 $-6.7B +$17.0M #22
2013 $-6.7B −$1.1B #24
2012 $-5.7B −$551.3M #24
2011 $-5.1B −$773.0M #27
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +14.6% GDP growth 3.7% C/A balance 2.9%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Guatemala matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2024. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw trade balance improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Guatemala's trade balance?▾

Guatemala's trade balance was $-21.3B in 2025. Ranked 167th globally. This represents a 20.9% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest trade balance in Guatemala?▾

Guatemala's trade balance peaked at $105.6M in 1986.

What was the lowest trade balance in Guatemala?▾

The lowest trade balance in Guatemala was $-21.3B in 2025.

How does Guatemala rank in trade balance?▾

Guatemala ranks 167th globally in trade balance as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for trade balance?▾

The World Bank indicator code is NE.RSB.GNFS.CD. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected trade balance of Guatemala in 2025?▾

Guatemala's trade balance is projected to reach $-21.3B by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the trade balance of Guatemala in 2025?▾

The trade balance of Guatemala in 2025 was $-21.3B. This ranks 167th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Guatemala Trade Balance. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 3, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/guatemala/trade-balance/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_guatemala_trade-balance, title = {Guatemala Trade Balance}, url = {https://historysaid.com/guatemala/trade-balance/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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