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Guinea-Bissau Poverty Rate

Poverty headcount ratio at $2.15/day  SI.POV.DDAY

Guinea-Bissau's poverty rate was 39.90% in 2021, ranked 73rd globally. This represents a 7.5% increase from 2020. Data from World Bank, covering 1991–2021.

39.90% +2.80pp (+7.5%)
Year 2021 Rank #73 Global Peak 75.70% (2010) Source World Bank

Guinea-Bissau Poverty Rate (1991–2021)

Overview

Guinea-Bissau's poverty rate stood at 39.90% in 2021, a rise of +2.80pp from 2018. Guinea-Bissau ranked 73rd globally.

Guinea‑Bissau’s poverty rate has shown a volatile trajectory since the early 1990s, falling from an early‑record 50.80 % in 1991 to a historic low of 37.10 % in 2018, before rising again to 39.90 % in 2021, placing the country 73rd globally. The sharpest surge occurred in 2010, when the share of people living below the national poverty line peaked at 75.70 %, reflecting the combined impact of political instability, drought‑related agricultural losses and a collapse in export revenues. The subsequent decline to the 2018 trough coincided with modest improvements in governance and targeted social assistance programmes, yet the modest rebound by 2021 suggests that these gains remain fragile. Compared with regional peers, Guinea‑Bissau’s poverty incidence is higher than Mali’s 36.10 % and lower than Kenya’s 46.40 %, underscoring divergent development paths within West Africa. Continued investment in resilient agriculture, diversification of the export base and sustained fiscal consolidation will be crucial to sustain the downward trend and prevent a reversal of recent progress.

Data & projection

Year Poverty Rate YoY change Rank
2021 39.90% +2.80pp #73
2018 37.10% −38.60pp #86
2010 75.70% +7.50pp #85
2002 68.20% +15.40pp #64
1993 52.80% +2.00pp #30
1991 50.80% – #17

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 10.5% Real rate -6.9%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Guinea-Bissau matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2008. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw poverty rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Guinea-Bissau's poverty rate?▾

Guinea-Bissau's poverty rate was 39.90% in 2021. Ranked 73rd globally. This represents a 7.5% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest poverty rate in Guinea-Bissau?▾

Guinea-Bissau's poverty rate peaked at 75.70% in 2010.

What was the lowest poverty rate in Guinea-Bissau?▾

The lowest poverty rate in Guinea-Bissau was 37.10% in 2018.

How does Guinea-Bissau rank in poverty rate?▾

Guinea-Bissau ranks 73rd globally in poverty rate as of 2021.

What is the World Bank indicator code for poverty rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SI.POV.DDAY. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the poverty rate of Guinea-Bissau in 2021?▾

The poverty rate of Guinea-Bissau in 2021 was 39.90%. This ranks 73rd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Guinea-Bissau Poverty Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/guinea-bissau/poverty-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_guinea-bissau_poverty-rate, title = {Guinea-Bissau Poverty Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/guinea-bissau/poverty-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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