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Guinea Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Guinea's dependency ratio was 78.73 in 2025, ranked 18th globally. This represents a 1.2% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

78.73 −0.99 (-1.2%)
Year 2025 Rank #18 Global Peak 97.66 (2002) Source World Bank

Guinea Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Guinea's dependency ratio stood at 78.73 in 2025, a decline of +0.99 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 78.73 by 2025. Guinea ranked 18th globally.

Guinea’s dependency ratio, measured as the share of non‑working‑age population (young and elderly) to the working‑age cohort, stood at 78.73 in 2025, placing the country 18th globally. The indicator has shown remarkable stability over the 66‑year series, rising only marginally from its earliest recorded level of 78.59 in 1960 to a modest increase of 0.14 points. The all‑time high of 97.66 occurred in 2002, reflecting a temporary surge in the proportion of dependents, while the 1960 figure remains the lowest point in the record. Compared with regional peers, Guinea’s ratio is slightly below Zimbabwe’s 79.31 and Benin’s 79.87, yet above Cameroon’s 78.50 and Burkina Faso’s 78.23, underscoring a middle‑of‑the‑pack position in West Africa. Demographic transitions, particularly declining fertility and gradual ageing, are expected to temper the ratio in the coming decade, provided that labor‑force participation expands and health outcomes improve.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 76.69 - -
2026* trend 77.71 - -
2025* trend 78.73 - -
2025 78.73 −0.99 #18
2024 79.71 −1.06 #199
2023 80.78 −1.04 #199
2022 81.82 −1.00 #199
2021 82.82 −0.97 #198
2020 83.79 −0.93 #197
2019 84.72 −0.85 #196
2018 85.57 −0.78 #197
2017 86.35 −0.78 #197
2016 87.12 −0.87 #197
2015 87.99 −0.94 #198
2014 88.93 −0.91 #199
2013 89.84 −0.93 #199
2012 90.78 −1.03 #200
2011 91.80 −0.99 #202
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +45.6% GDP growth 5.6% C/A balance 27.2%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Guinea matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Guinea's dependency ratio?▾

Guinea's dependency ratio was 78.73 in 2025. Ranked 18th globally. This represents a 1.2% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Guinea?▾

Guinea's dependency ratio peaked at 97.66 in 2002.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Guinea?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Guinea was 78.59 in 1960.

How does Guinea rank in dependency ratio?▾

Guinea ranks 18th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Guinea in 2025?▾

Guinea's dependency ratio is projected to reach 78.73 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Guinea in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Guinea in 2025 was 78.73. This ranks 18th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Guinea Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/guinea/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_guinea_dependency-ratio, title = {Guinea Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/guinea/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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