Countries with Declining GDP 2025

Economies with negative real GDP growth · Source: World Bank · 2025 · 187 countries

Economic contraction is almost always caused by one of four forces: conflict, sanctions, commodity collapse, or severe policy failure — and often a combination of all four simultaneously.

Key Takeaways

  • Conflict-driven contractions are the most severe: civil wars typically reduce GDP by 15-30% over their duration.
  • Sanctions have caused measurable GDP declines in targeted countries, though the severity depends on the economy's diversification.
  • Commodity price crashes devastate single-export economies, causing GDP declines that can take a decade to reverse.
  • Most economic contractions are temporary: the typical recession lasts 1-2 years, with recovery beginning once the triggering shock subsides.

Top countries by gdp growth: Haiti (-3.10%), Myanmar (-2.68%), Equatorial Guinea (-1.63%), Yemen, Republic of (-1.50%), Botswana (-0.88%).

Analysis

Countries with declining GDP are almost exclusively in crisis. The ranking of most negative growth rates reads as a catalog of conflict zones, sanctioned regimes, and states experiencing severe macroeconomic policy failures. This is not a list anyone aspires to join, and the economic suffering behind the numbers is immense.

Conflict is the most destructive force. Syria's GDP contracted by an estimated 60-70% during the worst of its civil war. Yemen has lost roughly half its economic output. Ukraine experienced severe contraction in the conflict zones while maintaining growth in other regions. The economic destruction from modern conflict extends far beyond direct physical damage: supply chains break, human capital flees, institutions collapse, and the investment climate is destroyed for years beyond the end of fighting.

Policy-driven contractions are the most preventable and therefore the most tragic. Venezuela's economy contracted every year from 2014 to 2021, losing roughly 75% of its GDP, entirely due to policy failures: price controls that destroyed production, currency controls that created black markets, nationalization that destroyed private sector capacity, and fiscal policy that created hyperinflation.

The pandemic caused the broadest synchronized contraction in modern history, with over 90% of countries experiencing negative growth in 2020. However, the recovery was equally broad, and most countries regained pre-pandemic GDP levels within 1-2 years.

Countries with Declining GDP - Full Ranking

Countries with Declining GDP - 2025 (187 countries)
Rank Country GDP Growth YoY %
1st Haiti -3.10% +25.7%
2nd Myanmar -2.68% -175.4%
3rd Equatorial Guinea -1.63% -279.1%
4th Yemen, Republic of -1.50% +0.0%
5th Botswana -0.88% +70.7%
6th Puerto Rico (US) -0.80% -125.2%
7th Germany 0.19% +138.5%
8th Austria 0.27% +141.0%
9th Iraq 0.45% +129.3%
10th Estonia 0.48% +627.5%
11th Finland 0.51% +21.8%
12th Italy 0.55% -21.2%
13th Hungary 0.60% +6.2%
14th Bolivia, Plurinational State of 0.60% +153.4%
15th Russian Federation 0.61% -86.0%
16th Iran, Islamic Republic of 0.65% -82.3%
17th France 0.67% -43.6%
18th Sweden 0.75% -8.5%
19th New Zealand 0.84% -35.2%
20th Korea 0.90% -55.3%
21st Slovak Republic 0.91% -53.1%
22nd Switzerland 0.95% -27.4%
23rd Romania 0.96% +4.8%
24th Micronesia, Federated States of 0.99% +37.4%
25th Mexico 0.99% -30.6%
26th Liechtenstein 1.00% -33.3%
27th San Marino 1.00% +43.7%
28th Trinidad and Tobago 1.02% -59.3%
29th Latvia 1.03% +2,329.5%
30th Belgium 1.07% -0.5%
31st Japan 1.08% +931.6%
32nd Slovenia 1.10% -36.5%
33rd South Africa 1.15% +114.8%
34th Canada 1.15% -25.8%
35th Luxembourg 1.18% +228.2%
36th Norway 1.18% -43.7%
37th United Kingdom 1.31% +16.1%
38th Iceland 1.43% +247.0%
39th Lesotho 1.43% -49.9%
40th Netherlands 1.43% +32.6%
41st Belize 1.49% -57.5%
42nd Vanuatu 1.67% +76.9%
43rd Moldova 1.70% +1,549.5%
44th St. Kitts and Nevis 1.72% +451.5%
45th Brunei Darussalam 1.80% -55.7%
46th Australia 1.81% +31.7%
47th Denmark 1.84% -47.1%
48th Portugal 1.87% -12.6%
49th Gabon 1.87% -44.8%
50th Greece 1.96% -5.9%
51st Ukraine 2.00% -31.4%
52nd Thailand 2.00% -21.3%
53rd United States 2.02% -27.8%
54th Aruba 2.04% -70.0%
55th Angola 2.09% -52.8%
56th Belarus 2.10% -47.7%
57th Jamaica 2.10% +492.5%
58th Nauru 2.14% +53.9%
59th Bahamas, The 2.20% -34.9%
60th Singapore 2.23% -49.3%
61st Czechia 2.30% +86.4%
62nd Turkmenistan 2.32% -63.2%
63rd Serbia 2.38% -39.8%
64th St. Lucia 2.38% -38.9%
65th Malawi 2.40% +43.2%
66th Bosnia and Herzegovina 2.40% -19.2%
67th Brazil 2.40% -29.8%
68th Andorra 2.40% -28.8%
69th Hong Kong SAR, China 2.44% -2.7%
70th Tunisia 2.46% +52.6%
71st Antigua and Barbuda 2.47% -32.5%
72nd Uruguay 2.47% -20.5%
73rd Mozambique 2.48% +15.4%
74th Israel 2.50% +186.1%
75th El Salvador 2.50% -3.9%
76th Chile 2.52% -4.9%
77th Colombia 2.52% +57.9%
78th Marshall Islands 2.53% +1.0%
79th Kuwait 2.57% +200.5%
80th Macao SAR, China 2.59% -67.0%
81st Congo, Republic of 2.65% +2.9%
82nd Pakistan 2.68% -12.2%
83rd Jordan 2.70% +8.5%
84th Barbados 2.70% +8.8%
85th Samoa 2.71% -43.0%
86th Solomon Islands 2.72% -9.4%
87th Tonga 2.73% +31.5%
88th Lithuania 2.73% -1.4%
89th Suriname 2.73% +58.9%
90th Bahrain 2.87% +10.1%
91st Qatar 2.88% +22.1%
92nd Oman 2.89% +76.8%
93rd São Tomé and Principe 2.90% +163.6%
94th Spain 2.91% -15.8%
95th Peru 2.93% -11.3%
96th Cyprus 2.95% -25.2%
97th Dominican Republic 2.96% -40.2%
98th Nicaragua 2.99% -16.6%
99th Central African Republic 3.00% +99.9%
100th Somalia, Fed. Rep. 3.00% -27.0%
101st Azerbaijan 3.02% -25.9%
102nd Tuvalu 3.02% -2.0%
103rd Bulgaria 3.05% -10.0%
104th Croatia 3.10% -19.0%
105th Fiji 3.19% -9.6%
106th Montenegro 3.20% +1.1%
107th Mauritius 3.20% -35.0%
108th Sudan 3.23% +123.1%
109th Ecuador 3.24% +261.9%
110th Poland 3.24% +7.1%
111th Grenada 3.28% -17.3%
112th Chad 3.34% -20.4%
113th Algeria 3.36% -9.3%
114th Albania 3.36% -17.0%
115th North Macedonia 3.40% +13.6%
116th Lao PDR 3.49% -15.6%
117th Türkiye 3.49% +5.0%
118th Costa Rica 3.59% -16.9%
119th Namibia 3.60% -3.1%
120th Bangladesh 3.76% -11.0%
121st Comoros 3.78% +13.1%
122nd Cameroon 3.80% +7.7%
123rd Honduras 3.80% +6.9%
124th Guatemala 3.83% +4.9%
125th Madagascar 3.85% -8.4%
126th Kiribati 3.90% -26.0%
127th Timor-Leste 3.90% +142.9%
128th Malta 3.90% -42.6%
129th Seychelles 3.90% +12.6%
130th Nigeria 3.93% -3.2%
131st Mauritania 3.95% -37.3%
132nd Burkina Faso 3.99% -16.9%
133rd Panama 4.00% +45.6%
134th Saudi Arabia 4.02% +101.4%
135th Ghana 4.03% -28.0%
136th Dominica 4.23% +105.9%
137th Egypt, Arab Republic of 4.27% +78.0%
138th Nepal 4.32% +17.7%
139th Eswatini 4.34% +45.9%
140th Sierra Leone 4.39% +2.2%
141st Morocco 4.39% +15.8%
142nd Burundi 4.40% +6.9%
143rd St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4.40% +8.3%
144th Paraguay 4.40% +3.5%
145th Argentina 4.47% +432.5%
146th Palau 4.49% -62.6%
147th Malaysia 4.50% -11.9%
148th Liberia 4.57% +13.6%
149th Papua New Guinea 4.74% +24.7%
150th United Arab Emirates 4.77% +19.4%
151st Cambodia 4.77% -20.1%
152nd Maldives 4.79% +37.0%
153rd China 4.80% -3.6%
154th Armenia 4.80% -18.6%
155th Kenya 4.82% +1.9%
156th Indonesia 4.86% -3.4%
157th Mali 5.00% +0.2%
158th Guinea-Bissau 5.10% +23.0%
159th Cabo Verde 5.19% -28.4%
160th Togo 5.20% -20.4%
161st Congo, Democratic Republic of 5.28% -13.8%
162nd Philippines 5.44% -4.5%
163rd Mongolia 5.50% +7.3%
164th Zambia 5.85% +53.0%
165th Kazakhstan 5.85% +17.0%
166th Senegal 5.96% -1.7%
167th Tanzania 6.00% +8.5%
168th Djibouti 6.01% -13.9%
169th Gambia, The 6.01% +8.3%
170th Zimbabwe 6.04% +246.7%
171st Côte d'Ivoire 6.40% +6.3%
172nd Uganda 6.41% +5.8%
173rd Viet Nam 6.46% -8.9%
174th India 6.65% +2.3%
175th Niger 6.65% -35.4%
176th Bhutan 6.79% +59.9%
177th Uzbekistan 6.80% +4.6%
178th Benin 7.04% -5.5%
179th Rwanda 7.11% -20.0%
180th Guinea 7.21% +34.7%
181st Georgia 7.23% -25.3%
182nd Tajikistan 7.50% -10.7%
183rd Kyrgyz Republic 8.00% -11.5%
184th Ireland 9.11% +250.6%
185th Guyana 10.32% -76.5%
186th Libya 15.56% +719.1%
187th South Sudan 24.34% +193.1%

Regional Breakdown

South Asia

Avg: 5.26% (5 countries)

Sub-Saharan Africa

Avg: 4.53% (46 countries)

Middle East & North Africa

Avg: 3.55% (19 countries)

East Asia & Pacific

Avg: 2.95% (31 countries)

Latin America & Caribbean

Avg: 2.71% (33 countries)

Europe & Central Asia

Avg: 2.47% (51 countries)

North America

Avg: 1.59% (2 countries)

Biggest Movers (2015-2025)

Biggest Increases

Countries with biggest gdp growth increase 2015-2025
Country20152025Change
Liberia -0.02% 4.57% +24,710.9%
Ecuador 0.12% 3.24% +2,606.9%
St. Lucia 0.10% 2.38% +2,233.3%
Libya -0.84% 15.56% +1,946.8%
Guyana 0.69% 10.32% +1,400.7%

Biggest Declines

Countries with biggest gdp growth decline 2015-2025
Country20152025Change
Haiti 1.40% -3.10% -321.4%
Myanmar 6.99% -2.68% -138.3%
Germany 1.66% 0.19% -88.5%
Bolivia, Plurinational State of 4.86% 0.60% -87.6%
Hungary 3.66% 0.60% -83.7%

The deepest current contractions are concentrated in conflict zones and sanctioned economies. Countries that experienced the sharpest declines have typically begun recovery once the immediate crisis stabilized, though recovery to pre-crisis levels can take a decade or more.

What Is GDP Growth?

Negative GDP growth means the total value of goods and services produced in the economy decreased compared to the prior year, after adjusting for inflation. A country can have negative real growth while prices rise (stagflation), making the lived experience even worse than the GDP figure suggests.

This ranking sorts countries by growth rate in ascending order, showing the most severe contractions first. Note that some of the worst-affected countries may not report reliable data during crisis periods, so the true picture may be even worse than official statistics indicate.

Learn more: Our methodology · World Bank indicator page

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