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Nigeria Budget Deficit

General government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP  GGXCNL_NGDP

Nigeria's budget deficit was -2.93% in 2025, ranked 98th globally. This represents a 87.0% decrease from 2024. Data from IMF WEO, covering 1990–2025.

-2.93% −1.36% (-87.0%)
Year 2025 Rank #98 Global Peak 6.22% (2006) Source IMF WEO

Nigeria Budget Deficit (1990–2025)

Overview

Nigeria's budget deficit stood at -2.93% in 2025, a decline of +1.36% from 2024. The IMF projects -2.93% by 2025. Nigeria ranked 98th globally.

Nigeria’s primary budget deficit widened to –2.93 percent of GDP in 2025, placing the country 98th in the global ranking and closely matching peers such as Croatia (–2.92) and Niger (–2.97). The deficit trajectory spans 36 years, moving from a modest –0.48 percent in 1990 to an acute trough of –6.08 percent in 1993, before expanding sharply to an all‑time peak of 6.22 percent in 2006. The post‑2006 period has seen a gradual reversal, with deficits remaining negative but persisting at relatively high levels as fiscal pressures from oil revenue volatility and rising social expenditures continue. Structural reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and improving public‑financial management could lower the deficit further, while any resurgence in commodity price shocks or fiscal stimulus could reverse the modest improvement trend.

Data & projection

Year Budget Deficit YoY change Rank
2030* IMF -3.25% - -
2029* IMF -3.27% - -
2028* IMF -2.97% - -
2027* IMF -2.85% - -
2026* IMF -3.73% - -
2025* IMF -2.93% - -
2025 -2.93% −1.36% #98
2024 -1.57% +1.56% #121
2023 -3.13% +0.88% #91
2022 -4.00% −0.03% #71
2021 -3.97% +0.06% #98
2020 -4.03% −0.72% #133
2019 -3.31% −0.24% #63
2018 -3.06% +0.78% #57
2017 -3.85% −0.55% #53
2016 -3.30% −0.60% #73
2015 -2.70% −0.97% #99
2014 -1.73% +0.17% #123
2013 -1.89% −1.80% #106
2012 -0.09% −0.40% #142
2011 0.31% +3.27% #148
Show all years (1990-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +20.5% GDP growth 4.1% C/A balance 6.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Nigeria matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2024. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw budget deficit improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Nigeria's budget deficit?▾

Nigeria's budget deficit was -2.93% in 2025. Ranked 98th globally. This represents a 87.0% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest budget deficit in Nigeria?▾

Nigeria's budget deficit peaked at 6.22% in 2006.

What was the lowest budget deficit in Nigeria?▾

The lowest budget deficit in Nigeria was -6.08% in 1993.

How does Nigeria rank in budget deficit?▾

Nigeria ranks 98th globally in budget deficit as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for budget deficit?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GGXCNL_NGDP. Data sourced from IMF WEO.

What is the projected budget deficit of Nigeria in 2025?▾

Nigeria's budget deficit is projected to reach -2.93% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the budget deficit of Nigeria in 2025?▾

The budget deficit of Nigeria in 2025 was -2.93%. This ranks 98th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Nigeria Budget Deficit. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 28, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/nigeria/budget-deficit/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_nigeria_budget-deficit, title = {Nigeria Budget Deficit}, url = {https://historysaid.com/nigeria/budget-deficit/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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