Home → Patterns → Export Boom Cycle → Libya

Export Boom Cycle

Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.

10 occurrences detected, 1 successful

Libya 2017

Reserves YoY

+13.1%

GDP growth

32.5%

C/A balance

6.6%

24 mo later

-11.2%

Libya 2012

Reserves YoY

+12.8%

GDP growth

86.8%

C/A balance

25.8%

24 mo later

-23.0%

Libya 2007

Reserves YoY

+33.8%

GDP growth

6.2%

C/A balance

41.9%

24 mo later

-4.4%

Libya 2006

Reserves YoY

+48.6%

GDP growth

6.5%

C/A balance

36.9%

24 mo later

-0.2%

Libya 2005

Reserves YoY

+51.1%

GDP growth

11.9%

C/A balance

31.6%

24 mo later

6.2%

Libya 2004

Reserves YoY

+28.8%

GDP growth

4.5%

C/A balance

13.9%

Libya 2003

Reserves YoY

+35.4%

GDP growth

13.0%

C/A balance

13.0%

Libya 2000

Reserves YoY

+59.2%

GDP growth

3.7%

C/A balance

16.4%

Libya 1990

Reserves YoY

+25.1%

GDP growth

3.7%

C/A balance

7.6%

24 mo later

-2.7%

Libya 1985

Reserves YoY

+48.8%

GDP growth

8.3%

C/A balance

6.0%

24 mo later

-14.7%

Libya Orthodox Tightening Cycle Currency Crisis Pattern Fiscal Dominance Trap Stagflation Risk Insights