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Samoa
Samoa
HistorySaid – pattern
Samoa matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2024. 5 pattern matches detected historically. View →
HistorySaid – ranking
Samoa ranks 10th globally by GDP ($1.2B in 2024). View →
HistorySaid – inflation
Inflation in Samoa fell from 7.9% (2023) to 2.2% (2024) – a 5.7pp shift. View →
HistorySaid – population
Samoa has a population of 218,019 as of 2024 (growth: 0.63%). View →
Economy & Growth
GDP $1.2B
GDP per Capita $5,393
GDP Growth 4.75%
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture Value Added | 9.36% | 9.85% | 9.80% | 9.85% Trend | 9.92% Trend | 9.99% Trend | – | – | – |
| GDP | $889.6M | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.2B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.3B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.4B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.5B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.5B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.6B IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| GDP Deflator | 2.54% | 6.83% | 8.43% | 10.25% Trend | 12.44% Trend | 14.63% Trend | – | – | – |
| GDP Growth | 2.27% | 15.23% | 4.75% | 2.71% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 3.23% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 2.56% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 2.14% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 1.99% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 1.99% IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| GDP PPP | $1.5B | $1.8B | $1.9B | $1.8B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.8B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $1.9B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $2.0B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $2.1B IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $2.1B IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| GDP per Capita | $4,132 | $4,823 | $5,393 | $5,887 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $6,253 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $6,523 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $6,768 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $7,074 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $7,342 IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| GDP per Capita PPP | $6,909 | $8,195 | $8,737 | $8,257 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $8,626 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $8,946 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $9,233 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $9,525 IMF WEO Oct 2025 | $9,835 IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| GNI | $868.1M | $1.0B | $1.2B | $1.2B Trend | $1.3B Trend | $1.4B Trend | – | – | – |
| GNI per Capita | $4,130 | $4,800 | $5,040 | $5,227 Trend | $5,500 Trend | $5,773 Trend | – | – | – |
| Gross Savings | 21.85% | 26.16% | 30.01% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Industry Value Added | 10.85% | 10.08% | 10.58% | 10.11% Trend | 9.89% Trend | 9.67% Trend | – | – | – |
| Services Value Added | 72.22% | 70.74% | 69.36% | 70.52% Trend | 70.57% Trend | 70.62% Trend | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Prices & Inflation
Inflation Rate 2.17%
Consumer Price Index 146.01
PPP Conversion Factor 1.70
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Price Index | 132.42 | 142.91 | 146.01 | 156.53 Trend | 164.95 Trend | 173.36 Trend | – | – | – |
| Inflation Rate | 10.96% | 7.92% | 2.17% | 1.83% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 3.25% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 2.99% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 2.99% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 2.99% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 2.99% IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| PPP Conversion Factor | 1.56 | 1.61 | 1.70 | 1.63 Trend | 1.62 Trend | 1.62 Trend | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Population
Population 218,019
Population Growth 0.62%
Population Density 77.9
▾
| Indicator | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birth Rate | 25.4 | – | – | 24.2 Trend | 23.5 Trend | – | – |
| Death Rate | 6.2 | – | – | 5.9 Trend | 5.8 Trend | – | – |
| Dependency Ratio | 79.96 | 79.68 | – | 80.46 Trend | 80.85 Trend | 81.23 Trend | – |
| Fertility Rate | 3.83 | – | – | 3.71 Trend | 3.65 Trend | – | – |
| Life Expectancy | 71.7 | – | – | 72.5 Trend | 72.9 Trend | – | – |
| Net Migration | -2,810 | -2,754 | -2,815 | – | -2,763 Trend | -2,746 Trend | -2,729 Trend |
| Population | 216,663 | 218,019 | – | 219,643 Trend | 221,147 Trend | 222,650 Trend | – |
| Population Density | 77.9 | – | – | 79.3 Trend | 79.9 Trend | – | – |
| Population Growth | 0.65% | 0.62% | – | 0.47% Trend | 0.36% Trend | 0.26% Trend | – |
| Refugee Population | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Urban Population | 17.50% | 17.50% | – | 17.28% Trend | 17.16% Trend | 17.04% Trend | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Employment
Unemployment Rate 5.00%
Youth Unemployment 12.98%
Labor Force Participation 42.53%
▾
| Indicator | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agriculture Employment | 29.19% | 27.74% | 26.88% | 26.15% Trend | 25.25% Trend | 24.35% Trend |
| Female Labor Participation | 31.16% | 31.15% | 30.74% | 29.88% Trend | 29.33% Trend | 28.78% Trend |
| Industry Employment | 14.18% | 15.40% | 15.94% | 16.38% Trend | 16.98% Trend | 17.59% Trend |
| Labor Force Participation | 43.44% | 43.08% | 42.53% | 41.65% Trend | 40.97% Trend | 40.30% Trend |
| Services Employment | 56.63% | 56.86% | 57.18% | 57.48% Trend | 57.77% Trend | 58.06% Trend |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.92% | 4.86% | 5.00% | – | – | – |
| Youth Unemployment | 12.90% | 12.67% | 12.98% | 11.56% Trend | 10.89% Trend | 10.22% Trend |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Government
Tax Revenue 23.96%
Government Spending 26.68%
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget Deficit | 5.03% | 2.70% | 9.29% | 5.00% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -0.08% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -1.46% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -1.87% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -2.03% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -2.11% IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| Education Spending | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Government Debt to GDP | 40.97% | 31.81% | 25.17% | 20.90% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 17.69% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 18.31% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 19.41% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 20.49% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 21.72% IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| Government Revenue | 36.10% | 31.50% | 35.63% | 31.81% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 30.76% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 30.27% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 30.27% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 30.22% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | 30.18% IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| Government Spending | 31.84% | 26.68% | – | 30.03% Trend | 30.01% Trend | – | – | – | – |
| Health Spending | 6.93% | 6.78% | – | 7.77% Trend | 8.09% Trend | – | – | – | – |
| Military Spending | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Tax Revenue | 24.02% | 23.96% | – | 23.76% Trend | 23.63% Trend | – | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Debt
External Debt $394.9M
External Debt to GNI 37.56%
Short-term Debt 17.35%
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt Service | 20.51% | 10.35% | 9.03% | 7.07% Trend | 4.38% Trend | 1.69% Trend |
| Domestic Credit | 80.03% | 61.71% | 55.47% | 52.20% Trend | 45.73% Trend | 39.25% Trend |
| External Debt | $470.7M | $432.5M | $394.9M | $384.9M Trend | $361.1M Trend | $337.3M Trend |
| External Debt to GNI | 57.93% | 46.78% | 37.56% | 36.16% Trend | 30.86% Trend | 25.57% Trend |
| Interest Payments to Revenue | 1.15% | 1.24% | – | 0.59% Trend | 0.40% Trend | – |
| Short-term Debt | 15.15% | 15.36% | 17.35% | 20.46% Trend | 22.91% Trend | 25.37% Trend |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Money
Lending Rate 8.43%
Deposit Rate 1.59%
Real Interest Rate 0.01%
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Credit to GDP | 88.94% | 74.15% | 69.94% | 66.52% Trend | 61.04% Trend | 55.55% Trend |
| Deposit Rate | 1.81% | 1.79% | 1.59% | 1.26% Trend | 1.01% Trend | 0.76% Trend |
| Lending Rate | 8.29% | 8.32% | 8.43% | 8.23% Trend | 8.15% Trend | 8.08% Trend |
| M2 Money Supply Growth | 7.33% | 13.68% | 8.88% | 13.08% Trend | 14.98% Trend | 16.87% Trend |
| Non-Performing Loans | 4.98% | 5.37% | – | 5.93% Trend | 6.33% Trend | – |
| Real Interest Rate | 5.61% | 1.39% | 0.01% | -2.06% Trend | -4.33% Trend | -6.60% Trend |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Currency
Exchange Rate 2.75
Real Effective Exchange Rate 116.58
Foreign Reserves $507.7M
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exchange Rate | 2.69 | 2.74 | 2.75 | 2.79 Trend | 2.82 Trend | 2.86 Trend |
| Foreign Reserves | $321.2M | $447.1M | $507.7M | $553.7M Trend | $615.1M Trend | $676.4M Trend |
| Real Effective Exchange Rate | 112.21 | 116.87 | 116.58 | 122.29 Trend | 126.17 Trend | 130.04 Trend |
| Reserves in Months of Imports | 7.1 | 8.8 | 9.8 | 9.7 Trend | 10.1 Trend | 10.5 Trend |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Trade
Exports $369.7M
Imports $575.7M
Trade Balance $-214.1M
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Account Balance | -8.32% | 3.84% | 5.58% | 4.50% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -1.46% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -1.56% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -1.70% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -2.01% IMF WEO Oct 2025 | -2.07% IMF WEO Oct 2025 |
| Exports | $175.4M | $346.2M | $369.7M | $447.5M Trend | $523.0M Trend | $598.5M Trend | – | – | – |
| FDI Inflows | 0.54% | 0.23% | 0.32% | 0.17% Trend | 0.05% Trend | -0.07% Trend | – | – | – |
| FDI Outflows | -0.01% | 0.00% | 0.17% | 0.06% Trend | 0.05% Trend | 0.04% Trend | – | – | – |
| Imports | $512.0M | $560.8M | $575.7M | $649.7M Trend | $702.5M Trend | $755.4M Trend | – | – | – |
| Remittances Received | $280.0M | $264.9M | $282.3M | $307.8M Trend | $325.0M Trend | $342.3M Trend | – | – | – |
| Tourism Receipts | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Trade Balance | $-336.9M | $-297.0M | $-214.1M | $-289.1M Trend | $-296.8M Trend | $-304.5M Trend | – | – | – |
| Trade Openness | 60.85% | 80.84% | 79.52% | 79.24% Trend | 81.75% Trend | 84.27% Trend | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Financial Markets
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest Rate Spread | 6.49% | 6.53% | 6.84% | 6.97% Trend | 7.14% Trend | 7.32% Trend |
| Listed Companies | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Market Capitalization | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Stock Turnover Ratio | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Political Stability
Political Stability 1.10
Government Effectiveness 0.49
Regulatory Quality -0.27
▾
| Indicator | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Control of Corruption | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.73 | 0.65 Trend | 0.65 Trend |
| Government Effectiveness | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.49 | 0.38 Trend | 0.37 Trend |
| Political Stability | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.05 Trend | 1.03 Trend |
| Regulatory Quality | -0.22 | -0.27 | -0.27 | -0.28 Trend | -0.29 Trend |
| Rule of Law | 0.89 | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.75 Trend | 0.69 Trend |
| Voice and Accountability | 0.75 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 1.14 Trend | 1.21 Trend |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Health
Health Expenditure per Capita $293
Infant Mortality Rate 12.8
Maternal Mortality Ratio 101.00
▾
| Indicator | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health Expenditure per Capita | $286 | $260 | $293 | $310 Trend | $320 Trend |
| Hospital Beds | – | – | – | – | – |
| Infant Mortality Rate | 13.4 | 13.1 | 12.8 | 11.6 Trend | 11.2 Trend |
| Maternal Mortality Ratio | 115.00 | 110.00 | 101.00 | 100.60 Trend | 98.20 Trend |
| Physicians | 0.56 | – | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Education
Literacy Rate 97.99%
Tertiary Enrollment 14.61%
Education Spending 5.46%
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Spending | 6.16% | 6.11% | 5.46% | 6.33% Trend | 6.61% Trend | 6.89% Trend |
| Literacy Rate | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Primary Enrollment | 103.31% | 101.62% | 101.04% | 101.03% Trend | 100.53% Trend | 100.03% Trend |
| Tertiary Enrollment | 18.55% | 14.61% | – | 17.96% Trend | 18.28% Trend | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Energy
Renewable Energy 35.90%
▾
| Indicator | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CO2 Emissions | – | – | – | – | – |
| CO2 per Capita | – | – | – | – | – |
| Electricity Access | 98.30% | 98.30% | 100.00% | 99.12% Trend | 99.11% Trend |
| Energy Use per Capita | – | – | – | – | – |
| Forest Area | 57.98% | 57.81% | 57.64% | 57.29% Trend | 57.12% Trend |
| Renewable Energy | 36.00% | 35.90% | – | 35.86% Trend | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Technology
Internet Users 58.14%
Mobile Subscriptions 62.40
▾
| Indicator | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-tech Exports | 0.55% | 5.74% | 76.67% | 53.68% Trend | 65.06% Trend | 76.44% Trend |
| Internet Users | 57.33% | 58.14% | – | 65.18% Trend | 67.93% Trend | – |
| Mobile Subscriptions | 62.40 | – | – | 53.43 Trend | – | – |
| Patent Applications | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| R&D Spending | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.
Inequality
Gini Index 38.7
Poverty Rate 4.50%
Income Share Top 10% 31.30%
▾
| Indicator | 2002 | 2008 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gini Index | 40.7 | 42.0 | 38.7 |
| Income Share Bottom 10% | 2.50% | 2.70% | 2.70% |
| Income Share Top 10% | 32.50% | 34.00% | 31.30% |
| Poverty Rate | 5.90% | 3.70% | 4.50% |
Italic values are IMF World Economic Outlook projections.