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Tajikistan GDP Growth

Annual percentage growth rate of GDP  NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG

Tajikistan's gdp growth was 7.50% in 2025, ranked 6th globally. This represents a 10.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1986–2025.

7.50% −0.90pp (-10.7%)
Year 2025 Rank #6 Global Peak 13.90% (1988) Source World Bank

Tajikistan GDP Growth (1986–2025)

Overview

Tajikistan's gdp growth stood at 7.50% in 2025, a decline of +0.90pp from 2024. The IMF projects 7.50% by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 6th globally.

Tajikistan’s GDP growth has accelerated sharply in recent years, reaching 7.50 % in 2025, the sixth‑fastest expansion among all economies recorded by the World Bank. This surge follows a volatile four‑decade record that began with a modest 3.50 % increase in 1986, peaked at an extraordinary 13.90 % in 1988, and then collapsed to a historic trough of –29.00 % in 1992 amid the post‑Soviet transition. Over the 40‑year span, the country has moved from deep contraction to sustained high‑growth, outpacing regional peers such as the Kyrgyz Republic (8.00 % in 2025) and Georgia (7.23 %). The recent momentum reflects stronger export performance, infrastructure investment, and reforms in the fiscal sector, although vulnerability to external shocks remains. If reforms continue and diversification deepens, Tajikistan is likely to maintain a trajectory above the global average, though a resurgence of geopolitical or commodity price volatility could reverse the current upward trend.

Data & projection

Year GDP Growth YoY change Rank
2030* IMF 4.50% - -
2029* IMF 4.50% - -
2028* IMF 4.50% - -
2027* IMF 4.80% - -
2026* IMF 5.50% - -
2025* IMF 7.50% - -
2025 7.50% −0.90pp #6
2024 8.40% +0.15pp #8
2023 8.30% +0.30pp #12
2022 8.00% −1.40pp #32
2021 9.40% +5.01pp #38
2020 4.40% −3.00pp #8
2019 7.40% −0.20pp #10
2018 7.60% +0.50pp #9
2017 7.10% +0.20pp #17
2016 6.90% +0.90pp #22
2015 6.02% −0.68pp #33
2014 6.70% −0.70pp #26
2013 7.40% −0.10pp #22
2012 7.50% +0.10pp #28
2011 7.40% +0.90pp #33
Show all years (1986-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +54.0% GDP growth 8.0% C/A balance 15.3%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw gdp growth improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tajikistan's gdp growth?▾

Tajikistan's gdp growth was 7.50% in 2025. Ranked 6th globally. This represents a 10.7% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest gdp growth in Tajikistan?▾

Tajikistan's gdp growth peaked at 13.90% in 1988.

What was the lowest gdp growth in Tajikistan?▾

The lowest gdp growth in Tajikistan was -29.00% in 1992.

How does Tajikistan rank in gdp growth?▾

Tajikistan ranks 6th globally in gdp growth as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for gdp growth?▾

The World Bank indicator code is NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected gdp growth of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

Tajikistan's gdp growth is projected to reach 7.50% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the gdp growth of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

The gdp growth of Tajikistan in 2025 was 7.50%. This ranks 6th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Tajikistan GDP Growth. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 1, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/gdp-growth/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_gdp-growth, title = {Tajikistan GDP Growth}, url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/gdp-growth/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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