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Timor-Leste Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Timor-Leste's dependency ratio was 61.86 in 2025, ranked 64th globally. This represents a 3.0% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

61.86 −1.90 (-3.0%)
Year 2025 Rank #64 Global Peak 85.16 (2010) Source World Bank

Timor-Leste Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Timor-Leste's dependency ratio stood at 61.86 in 2025, a decline of +1.90 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 61.86 by 2025. Timor-Leste ranked 64th globally.

Timor‑Leste’s dependency ratio has fallen markedly over the six‑decade span from 74.34 in 1960 to 61.86 in 2025, placing the nation at 64th globally and representing an all‑time trough after a peak of 85.16 in 2010. The sustained decline reflects a gradual transition from a youthful, high‑dependency structure toward a more balanced age composition, driven by modest improvements in life expectancy and a slowdown in fertility rates. Compared with peers of similar rank, the country’s ratio is slightly higher than Kyrgyz Republic’s 61.48 and Lesotho’s 61.53, yet lower than Finland’s 63.07, indicating that Timor‑Leste remains among the less dependent economies in the lower‑middle tier. The 66‑year coverage shows that the downward trajectory is consistent, though any resurgence in birth rates or a sharp rise in elderly mortality could stall progress. Continued investment in health and education is likely to keep the ratio on a gentle decline in the coming decade.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 58.18 - -
2026* trend 60.02 - -
2025* trend 61.86 - -
2025 61.86 −1.90 #64
2024 63.76 −1.70 #158
2023 65.46 −1.87 #162
2022 67.33 −1.92 #165
2021 69.26 −1.80 #168
2020 71.06 −1.76 #170
2019 72.82 −1.75 #171
2018 74.57 −1.73 #173
2017 76.30 −1.75 #176
2016 78.05 −1.75 #176
2015 79.80 −1.76 #179
2014 81.56 −1.63 #184
2013 83.19 −1.20 #186
2012 84.39 −0.67 #189
2011 85.06 −0.10 #189
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +42.4% GDP growth 5.4% C/A balance 54.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Timor-Leste matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Timor-Leste's dependency ratio?▾

Timor-Leste's dependency ratio was 61.86 in 2025. Ranked 64th globally. This represents a 3.0% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Timor-Leste?▾

Timor-Leste's dependency ratio peaked at 85.16 in 2010.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Timor-Leste?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Timor-Leste was 61.86 in 2025.

How does Timor-Leste rank in dependency ratio?▾

Timor-Leste ranks 64th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Timor-Leste in 2025?▾

Timor-Leste's dependency ratio is projected to reach 61.86 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Timor-Leste in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Timor-Leste in 2025 was 61.86. This ranks 64th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Timor-Leste Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/timor-leste/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_timor-leste_dependency-ratio, title = {Timor-Leste Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/timor-leste/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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