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Vanuatu Population Growth

Annual population growth rate  SP.POP.GROW

Vanuatu's population growth was 2.28% in 2025, ranked 38th globally. This represents a 0.4% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1961–2025.

2.28% +0.01pp (+0.4%)
Year 2025 Rank #38 Global Peak 3.09% (1978) Source World Bank

Vanuatu Population Growth (1961–2025)

Overview

Vanuatu's population growth stood at 2.28% in 2025, a rise of +0.01pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 2.28% by 2025. Vanuatu ranked 38th globally.

Vanuatu’s population growth rate in 2025 stood at 2.28 percent, placing the nation 38th worldwide, and it remains closely aligned with peers such as Equatorial Guinea (2.29 percent) and The Gambia (2.25 percent). Over the 65‑year series, the island state’s growth has fluctuated modestly, descending from a 1961 rate of 2.81 percent to a historic low of 2.07 percent in 1999 before reaching an all‑time peak of 3.09 percent in 1978. The post‑1999 period saw a gradual re‑acceleration, yet the rate has not returned to the 1970s high, reflecting limited changes in fertility and modest net migration. Demographic momentum, coupled with improving health outcomes, suggests that growth will likely stay near the current level unless policy shifts substantially affect fertility or migration. Continued monitoring of these drivers will determine whether Vanuatu’s trajectory steadies, modestly rises, or begins to decline in the coming decade.

Data & projection

Year Population Growth YoY change Rank
2027* trend 2.26% - -
2026* trend 2.27% - -
2025* trend 2.28% - -
2025 2.28% +0.01pp #38
2024 2.27% −0.05pp #180
2023 2.32% +0.01pp #177
2022 2.32% +0.00pp #178
2021 2.32% −0.01pp #184
2020 2.33% −0.00pp #180
2019 2.33% −0.06pp #176
2018 2.40% +0.06pp #177
2017 2.33% +0.11pp #170
2016 2.22% −0.00pp #164
2015 2.23% −0.01pp #160
2014 2.24% +0.01pp #159
2013 2.22% +0.03pp #158
2012 2.20% +0.03pp #160
2011 2.17% −0.17pp #162
Show all years (1961-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +21.6% GDP growth 3.2% C/A balance 7.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Vanuatu matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2019. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw population growth improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vanuatu's population growth?▾

Vanuatu's population growth was 2.28% in 2025. Ranked 38th globally. This represents a 0.4% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest population growth in Vanuatu?▾

Vanuatu's population growth peaked at 3.09% in 1978.

What was the lowest population growth in Vanuatu?▾

The lowest population growth in Vanuatu was 2.07% in 1999.

How does Vanuatu rank in population growth?▾

Vanuatu ranks 38th globally in population growth as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for population growth?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.GROW. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected population growth of Vanuatu in 2025?▾

Vanuatu's population growth is projected to reach 2.28% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the population growth of Vanuatu in 2025?▾

The population growth of Vanuatu in 2025 was 2.28%. This ranks 38th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Vanuatu Population Growth. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 2, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/vanuatu/population-growth/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_vanuatu_population-growth, title = {Vanuatu Population Growth}, url = {https://historysaid.com/vanuatu/population-growth/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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