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Vanuatu Fertility Rate

Total fertility rate  SP.DYN.TFRT.IN

Vanuatu's fertility rate was 3.50 in 2025, ranked 42nd globally. This represents a 2.6% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

3.50 −0.09 (-2.6%)
Year 2025 Rank #42 Global Peak 6.78 (1960) Source World Bank

Vanuatu Fertility Rate (1960–2025)

Overview

Vanuatu's fertility rate stood at 3.50 in 2025, a decline of +0.09 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 3.50 by 2025. Vanuatu ranked 42nd globally.

Vanuatu’s total fertility rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year span from 6.78 in 1960, the year of its all‑time peak, to 3.50 in 2025, the lowest point recorded and the 42nd‑lowest globally. This halving of births per woman mirrors a broader demographic transition in many Pacific island states, driven by expanded access to education, urbanisation and the diffusion of family‑planning services. The 2025 figure is virtually identical to Pakistan’s 3.51 and slightly above Malawi’s 3.49, placing Vanuatu among a cohort of lower‑fertility developing economies. Despite the steep decline, the rate remains well above the replacement level of 2.1, suggesting that population growth will continue, albeit at a slower pace. Continued investment in reproductive health, coupled with improvements in women’s labour‑force participation, could push the fertility rate toward the sub‑3.0 range in the coming decades, further moderating demographic pressure.

Data & projection

Year Fertility Rate YoY change Rank
2026* trend 3.45 - -
2025* trend 3.50 - -
2025 3.50 −0.09 #42
2023 3.60 −0.05 #175
2022 3.65 −0.05 #175
2021 3.70 −0.04 #175
2020 3.74 −0.05 #174
2019 3.79 −0.04 #175
2018 3.83 −0.04 #175
2017 3.88 −0.04 #174
2016 3.92 −0.04 #175
2015 3.95 −0.05 #172
2014 4.00 −0.04 #172
2013 4.04 −0.02 #170
2012 4.06 −0.03 #168
2011 4.09 −0.03 #168
2010 4.13 −0.03 #170
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +21.6% GDP growth 3.2% C/A balance 7.8%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Vanuatu matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2019. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vanuatu's fertility rate?▾

Vanuatu's fertility rate was 3.50 in 2025. Ranked 42nd globally. This represents a 2.6% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest fertility rate in Vanuatu?▾

Vanuatu's fertility rate peaked at 6.78 in 1960.

What was the lowest fertility rate in Vanuatu?▾

The lowest fertility rate in Vanuatu was 3.50 in 2025.

How does Vanuatu rank in fertility rate?▾

Vanuatu ranks 42nd globally in fertility rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for fertility rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected fertility rate of Vanuatu in 2025?▾

Vanuatu's fertility rate is projected to reach 3.50 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the fertility rate of Vanuatu in 2025?▾

The fertility rate of Vanuatu in 2025 was 3.50. This ranks 42nd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Vanuatu Fertility Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 9, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/vanuatu/fertility-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_vanuatu_fertility-rate, title = {Vanuatu Fertility Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/vanuatu/fertility-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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