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Zambia Budget Deficit

General government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP  GGXCNL_NGDP

Zambia's budget deficit was -5.25% in 2025, ranked 146th globally. This represents a 58.2% decrease from 2024. Data from IMF WEO, covering 2000–2025.

-5.25% −1.93% (-58.2%)
Year 2025 Rank #146 Global Peak 16.91% (2006) Source IMF WEO

Zambia Budget Deficit (2000–2025)

Overview

Zambia's budget deficit stood at -5.25% in 2025, a decline of +1.93% from 2024. The IMF projects -5.25% by 2025. Zambia ranked 146th globally.

Zambia’s budget deficit has swung dramatically over the 26‑year span covered by the IMF World Economic Outlook, moving from a modest surplus of 1.16 percent of GDP in 2000 to an all‑time peak deficit of 16.91 percent in 2006, before plunging to a historic trough of –13.76 percent in 2020. The latest estimate for 2025 shows a deficit of –5.25 percent, placing Zambia 146th globally and roughly in line with peers such as Trinidad and Tobago (–5.20 percent) and Mozambique (–5.32 percent). The 2006 surge reflected heightened fiscal pressures from commodity price volatility and expansive public spending, while the 2020 reversal was driven by pandemic‑related fiscal stimulus and a collapse in revenue. The recent narrowing of the deficit suggests a modest consolidation path, but sustaining this trajectory will depend on stabilising revenue streams, curbing expenditures, and maintaining external financing conditions.

Data & projection

Year Budget Deficit YoY change Rank
2030* IMF -1.15% - -
2029* IMF -1.36% - -
2028* IMF -1.63% - -
2027* IMF -1.65% - -
2026* IMF -3.71% - -
2025* IMF -5.25% - -
2025 -5.25% −1.93% #146
2024 -3.32% +2.16% #81
2023 -5.48% +2.34% #36
2022 -7.82% +0.31% #19
2021 -8.14% +5.63% #27
2020 -13.76% −4.36% #13
2019 -9.41% −1.10% #6
2018 -8.31% −0.81% #7
2017 -7.50% −1.81% #14
2016 -5.69% +3.19% #38
2015 -8.88% −3.45% #15
2014 -5.43% +0.96% #36
2013 -6.40% −3.24% #22
2012 -3.16% −1.37% #74
2011 -1.78% +0.65% #114
Show all years (2000-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +128.8% GDP growth 6.2% C/A balance 11.9%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Zambia matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw budget deficit improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Zambia's budget deficit?▾

Zambia's budget deficit was -5.25% in 2025. Ranked 146th globally. This represents a 58.2% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest budget deficit in Zambia?▾

Zambia's budget deficit peaked at 16.91% in 2006.

What was the lowest budget deficit in Zambia?▾

The lowest budget deficit in Zambia was -13.76% in 2020.

How does Zambia rank in budget deficit?▾

Zambia ranks 146th globally in budget deficit as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for budget deficit?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GGXCNL_NGDP. Data sourced from IMF WEO.

What is the projected budget deficit of Zambia in 2025?▾

Zambia's budget deficit is projected to reach -5.25% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the budget deficit of Zambia in 2025?▾

The budget deficit of Zambia in 2025 was -5.25%. This ranks 146th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Zambia Budget Deficit. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 29, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/zambia/budget-deficit/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_zambia_budget-deficit, title = {Zambia Budget Deficit}, url = {https://historysaid.com/zambia/budget-deficit/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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