Aruba Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
Aruba's fertility rate was 1.54 in 2025, ranked 138th globally. This represents a 3.6% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Aruba's fertility rate stood at 1.54 in 2025, a decline of +0.06 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.54 by 2025. Aruba ranked 138th globally.
Aruba’s fertility rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year span from 4.57 in 1960 to 1.54 in 2025, placing the island at rank 138 globally and marking its all‑time trough. The decline reflects a broader demographic transition common to many small, high‑income economies, wherein rising female education, urbanisation and access to contraception reduce birth rates. By 2025 Aruba’s rate is almost identical to that of the Maldives (1.54) and only marginally above the Cayman Islands (1.55), underscoring a convergence among Caribbean and island jurisdictions toward sub‑replacement fertility. The steep slide from the 1960 peak coincides with the post‑World War II baby‑boom era, after which economic diversification and social policy reforms accelerated the downward trend. If current patterns persist, the fertility rate is likely to remain below replacement level, potentially prompting policy adjustments aimed at encouraging higher fertility or attracting migrants to sustain population growth.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 1.52 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.54 | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.54 | −0.06 | #138 |
| 2023 | 1.60 | −0.01 | #82 |
| 2022 | 1.62 | −0.02 | #78 |
| 2021 | 1.63 | −0.03 | #74 |
| 2020 | 1.66 | −0.04 | #77 |
| 2019 | 1.70 | −0.03 | #74 |
| 2018 | 1.73 | −0.05 | #80 |
| 2017 | 1.79 | −0.06 | #81 |
| 2016 | 1.85 | −0.05 | #81 |
| 2015 | 1.90 | −0.04 | #83 |
| 2014 | 1.94 | +0.00 | #83 |
| 2013 | 1.94 | +0.04 | #82 |
| 2012 | 1.91 | +0.05 | #74 |
| 2011 | 1.86 | +0.00 | #66 |
| 2010 | 1.86 | −0.02 | #65 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Aruba matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Aruba's fertility rate was 1.54 in 2025. Ranked 138th globally. This represents a 3.6% decrease from the previous year.
Aruba's fertility rate peaked at 4.57 in 1960.
The lowest fertility rate in Aruba was 1.54 in 2025.
Aruba ranks 138th globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Aruba's fertility rate is projected to reach 1.54 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of Aruba in 2025 was 1.54. This ranks 138th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_aruba_fertility-rate,
title = {Aruba Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/aruba/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}