Italy Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
Italy's fertility rate was 1.18 in 2025, ranked 193rd globally. This represents a 1.3% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Italy's fertility rate stood at 1.18 in 2025, a decline of +0.02 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.18 by 2025. Italy ranked 193rd globally.
Italy’s fertility rate has fallen sharply over the 65‑year series, sliding from an all‑time peak of 2.66 in 1964 to a historic low of 1.18 in 2025, placing the country 193rd globally. The early post‑war period saw rates above replacement, but successive decades of economic modernization, rising female labour participation and delayed childbearing eroded births per woman. By the turn of the millennium the rate had already slipped below 1.30, and the latest figure of 1.18 matches Canada’s 2025 level and ties with San Marino, while remaining slightly above Kuwait’s 1.23. The persistent sub‑replacement fertility reflects structural constraints such as costly childcare, limited housing affordability and an ageing population that depresses demand for larger families. Unless policies that expand family‑friendly benefits, improve work‑life balance and lower childrearing costs are intensified, the downward trajectory is likely to continue, further deepening Italy’s demographic challenges.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 1.17 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.18 | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.18 | −0.02 | #193 |
| 2023 | 1.20 | −0.04 | #18 |
| 2022 | 1.24 | −0.01 | #15 |
| 2021 | 1.25 | +0.01 | #16 |
| 2020 | 1.24 | −0.03 | #13 |
| 2019 | 1.27 | −0.04 | #13 |
| 2018 | 1.31 | −0.03 | #14 |
| 2017 | 1.34 | −0.02 | #14 |
| 2016 | 1.36 | +0.00 | #13 |
| 2015 | 1.36 | −0.02 | #16 |
| 2014 | 1.38 | −0.01 | #16 |
| 2013 | 1.39 | −0.03 | #16 |
| 2012 | 1.42 | +0.00 | #18 |
| 2011 | 1.42 | −0.02 | #19 |
| 2010 | 1.44 | +0.00 | #22 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Italy matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 1986. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Italy's fertility rate was 1.18 in 2025. Ranked 193rd globally. This represents a 1.3% decrease from the previous year.
Italy's fertility rate peaked at 2.66 in 1964.
The lowest fertility rate in Italy was 1.18 in 2025.
Italy ranks 193rd globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Italy's fertility rate is projected to reach 1.18 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of Italy in 2025 was 1.18. This ranks 193rd in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_italy_fertility-rate,
title = {Italy Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/italy/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}