Madagascar Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
Madagascar's fertility rate was 3.85 in 2025, ranked 27th globally. This represents a 3.1% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Madagascar's fertility rate stood at 3.85 in 2025, a decline of +0.12 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 3.85 by 2025. Madagascar ranked 27th globally.
Madagascar’s total fertility rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year span from 7.34 in 1960, the all‑time peak, to 3.85 in 2025, the lowest level recorded for the country and the 27th lowest globally. This more than halving of births per woman reflects sustained declines in child mortality, expanded access to family‑planning services and gradual urbanisation, mirroring patterns observed in peers such as Uzbekistan (3.86) and The Gambia (3.84). The steepest drops occurred during the 1990s and early 2000s when health reforms and education improvements accelerated, while the recent plateau near 3.8 suggests that further reductions will depend on continued investment in reproductive health, female schooling and economic diversification. If these drivers persist, Madagascar is likely to edge closer to the sub‑replacement threshold in the coming decades, reshaping its demographic profile and labor‑force dynamics.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 3.78 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 3.85 | - | - |
| 2025 | 3.85 | −0.12 | #27 |
| 2023 | 3.97 | −0.06 | #190 |
| 2022 | 4.04 | −0.07 | #190 |
| 2021 | 4.10 | −0.07 | #190 |
| 2020 | 4.17 | −0.05 | #189 |
| 2019 | 4.22 | −0.03 | #188 |
| 2018 | 4.25 | −0.01 | #186 |
| 2017 | 4.26 | −0.03 | #184 |
| 2016 | 4.29 | −0.05 | #184 |
| 2015 | 4.34 | −0.09 | #181 |
| 2014 | 4.42 | −0.11 | #181 |
| 2013 | 4.53 | −0.09 | #182 |
| 2012 | 4.61 | −0.12 | #182 |
| 2011 | 4.74 | −0.16 | #185 |
| 2010 | 4.90 | −0.11 | #186 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Madagascar matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2016. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Madagascar's fertility rate was 3.85 in 2025. Ranked 27th globally. This represents a 3.1% decrease from the previous year.
Madagascar's fertility rate peaked at 7.34 in 1960.
The lowest fertility rate in Madagascar was 3.85 in 2025.
Madagascar ranks 27th globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Madagascar's fertility rate is projected to reach 3.85 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of Madagascar in 2025 was 3.85. This ranks 27th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_madagascar_fertility-rate,
title = {Madagascar Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/madagascar/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}