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Moldova Budget Deficit

General government net lending/borrowing as % of GDP  GGXCNL_NGDP

Moldova's budget deficit was -3.58% in 2025, ranked 117th globally. This represents a 8.0% increase from 2024. Data from IMF WEO, covering 1995–2025.

-3.58% +0.31% (+8.0%)
Year 2025 Rank #117 Global Peak 1.44% (2005) Source IMF WEO

Moldova Budget Deficit (1995–2025)

Overview

Moldova's budget deficit stood at -3.58% in 2025, a rise of +0.31% from 2024. The IMF projects -3.58% by 2025. Moldova ranked 117th globally.

Moldova’s general government budget deficit has widened to –3.58 percent of GDP in 2025, placing the country at rank 117 globally and closely matching the Philippines (–3.57) and Malaysia (–3.60). The deficit trajectory has been volatile over the 31‑year series, moving from an early‑stage shortfall of –2.58 percent in 1995 to a pronounced trough of –7.47 percent in 1997, before swinging to a rare surplus of 1.44 percent in 2005 – the only positive reading in the record. Since the 2005 peak, fiscal balances have generally drifted back into deficit, reflecting persistent structural pressures such as limited tax capacity and higher social spending. The recent widening to –3.58 percent suggests that fiscal consolidation remains challenging, although modest improvements in revenue collection could temper further deterioration. Continued reforms aimed at broadening the tax base and enhancing expenditure efficiency will be crucial to reverse the current deficit trend.

Data & projection

Year Budget Deficit YoY change Rank
2030* IMF -3.48% - -
2029* IMF -4.41% - -
2028* IMF -5.36% - -
2027* IMF -5.53% - -
2026* IMF -4.41% - -
2025* IMF -3.58% - -
2025 -3.58% +0.31% #117
2024 -3.88% +1.25% #65
2023 -5.13% −1.89% #45
2022 -3.24% −0.62% #88
2021 -2.62% +2.70% #124
2020 -5.32% −3.85% #110
2019 -1.47% −0.61% #105
2018 -0.85% −0.20% #119
2017 -0.65% +0.91% #137
2016 -1.56% +0.37% #120
2015 -1.93% −0.33% #123
2014 -1.60% −0.04% #127
2013 -1.57% +0.37% #114
2012 -1.93% +0.12% #108
2011 -2.05% +0.13% #107
Show all years (1995-2025)
* IMF World Economic Outlook projection

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 28.7% Real rate -5.9%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Moldova matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw budget deficit improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Moldova's budget deficit?▾

Moldova's budget deficit was -3.58% in 2025. Ranked 117th globally. This represents a 8.0% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest budget deficit in Moldova?▾

Moldova's budget deficit peaked at 1.44% in 2005.

What was the lowest budget deficit in Moldova?▾

The lowest budget deficit in Moldova was -7.47% in 1997.

How does Moldova rank in budget deficit?▾

Moldova ranks 117th globally in budget deficit as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for budget deficit?▾

The World Bank indicator code is GGXCNL_NGDP. Data sourced from IMF WEO.

What is the projected budget deficit of Moldova in 2025?▾

Moldova's budget deficit is projected to reach -3.58% by 2025 based on IMF projection.

What is the budget deficit of Moldova in 2025?▾

The budget deficit of Moldova in 2025 was -3.58%. This ranks 117th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Moldova Budget Deficit. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/moldova/budget-deficit/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_moldova_budget-deficit, title = {Moldova Budget Deficit}, url = {https://historysaid.com/moldova/budget-deficit/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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