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Montenegro Credit to GDP

Domestic credit to private sector as % of GDP  FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS

Montenegro's credit to gdp was 37.36% in 2025, ranked 77th globally. This represents a 17.5% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 2002–2025.

37.36% −7.92% (-17.5%)
Year 2025 Rank #77 Global Peak 86.61% (2008) Source World Bank

Montenegro Credit to GDP (2002–2025)

Overview

Montenegro's credit to gdp stood at 37.36% in 2025, a decline of +7.92% from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 37.36% by 2025. Montenegro ranked 77th globally.

Montenegro’s credit to GDP ratio has risen sharply from an all‑time trough of 8.05 in 2002 to a peak of 86.61 in 2008, before settling at 37.36 in 2025, placing the country 77th globally. The rapid expansion during the mid‑2000s reflected strong borrowing amid post‑conflict reconstruction and integration into European financial markets, while the subsequent decline coincided with the global financial crisis and a tightening of fiscal policy. Over the 24‑year series, the ratio has more than quadrupled, indicating a pronounced shift toward external financing. Montenegro’s 2025 level is closely aligned with peers such as Guatemala (37.41) and Dominica (36.33), suggesting a comparable reliance on credit among small, transition economies. If domestic savings remain low and public investment continues to depend on external borrowing, the credit‑to‑GDP ratio is likely to edge upward, whereas fiscal consolidation or stronger internal financing could reverse the upward trajectory.

Data & projection

Year Credit to GDP YoY change Rank
2027* trend 29.20% - -
2026* trend 33.28% - -
2025* trend 37.36% - -
2025 37.36% −7.92% #77
2024 45.27% +2.89% #63
2023 42.38% −4.77% #77
2022 47.16% −5.45% #86
2021 52.61% −7.95% #97
2020 60.56% +11.02% #106
2019 49.54% −0.69% #101
2018 50.23% +0.78% #98
2017 49.45% −0.04% #100
2016 49.49% −1.42% #101
2015 50.92% −1.24% #98
2014 52.15% −2.11% #103
2013 54.26% −1.01% #110
2012 55.27% −0.48% #113
2011 55.75% −10.82% #112
Show all years (2002-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 13.0% Real rate -5.7%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Montenegro matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw credit to gdp improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Montenegro's credit to gdp?▾

Montenegro's credit to gdp was 37.36% in 2025. Ranked 77th globally. This represents a 17.5% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest credit to gdp in Montenegro?▾

Montenegro's credit to gdp peaked at 86.61% in 2008.

What was the lowest credit to gdp in Montenegro?▾

The lowest credit to gdp in Montenegro was 8.05% in 2002.

How does Montenegro rank in credit to gdp?▾

Montenegro ranks 77th globally in credit to gdp as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for credit to gdp?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected credit to gdp of Montenegro in 2025?▾

Montenegro's credit to gdp is projected to reach 37.36% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the credit to gdp of Montenegro in 2025?▾

The credit to gdp of Montenegro in 2025 was 37.36%. This ranks 77th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Montenegro Credit to GDP. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 9, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/montenegro/credit-to-gdp/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_montenegro_credit-to-gdp, title = {Montenegro Credit to GDP}, url = {https://historysaid.com/montenegro/credit-to-gdp/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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