Norway Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
Norway's fertility rate was 1.34 in 2025, ranked 179th globally. This represents a 4.1% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Norway's fertility rate stood at 1.34 in 2025, a decline of +0.06 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.34 by 2025. Norway ranked 179th globally.
Norway’s total fertility rate has fallen sharply over the 65‑year span from 2.85 in 1960 to a historic low of 1.34 in 2025, placing the country at rank 179 globally. The peak of 2.98 recorded in 1964 marked the highest post‑war level, after which a gradual decline set in, accelerated by later‑stage demographic transitions, higher female labour participation and the diffusion of family‑planning technologies. By contrast, peer nations such as Sweden and the European Union register comparable rates of 1.34 and 1.35 respectively, while Jamaica’s 1.35 underscores the broader convergence of low‑fertility patterns across diverse welfare regimes. The persistent shortfall relative to the replacement threshold of 2.10 suggests a tightening of the working‑age population, prompting policy debates on childcare subsidies, parental leave extensions and immigration reforms. If recent pro‑family incentives prove effective, the downward trajectory could modestly reverse; otherwise, Norway is likely to remain entrenched in sub‑replacement fertility for the foreseeable future.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 1.31 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.34 | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.34 | −0.06 | #179 |
| 2023 | 1.40 | −0.01 | #40 |
| 2022 | 1.41 | −0.14 | #38 |
| 2021 | 1.55 | +0.07 | #53 |
| 2020 | 1.48 | −0.05 | #42 |
| 2019 | 1.53 | −0.03 | #48 |
| 2018 | 1.56 | −0.06 | #49 |
| 2017 | 1.62 | −0.09 | #57 |
| 2016 | 1.71 | −0.01 | #61 |
| 2015 | 1.72 | −0.03 | #62 |
| 2014 | 1.75 | −0.03 | #62 |
| 2013 | 1.78 | −0.07 | #67 |
| 2012 | 1.85 | −0.03 | #67 |
| 2011 | 1.88 | −0.07 | #70 |
| 2010 | 1.95 | −0.03 | #80 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Norway matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2021. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Norway's fertility rate was 1.34 in 2025. Ranked 179th globally. This represents a 4.1% decrease from the previous year.
Norway's fertility rate peaked at 2.98 in 1964.
The lowest fertility rate in Norway was 1.34 in 2025.
Norway ranks 179th globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Norway's fertility rate is projected to reach 1.34 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of Norway in 2025 was 1.34. This ranks 179th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_norway_fertility-rate,
title = {Norway Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/norway/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}