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Papua New Guinea Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio was 58.02 in 2025, ranked 84th globally. This represents a 1.0% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

58.02 −0.57 (-1.0%)
Year 2025 Rank #84 Global Peak 88.97 (1972) Source World Bank

Papua New Guinea Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio stood at 58.02 in 2025, a decline of +0.57 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 58.02 by 2025. Papua New Guinea ranked 84th globally.

Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio, a measure of the proportion of the population aged 0-14 and 65 years or older, has exhibited a significant decline over the past six decades. In 1972, the dependency ratio peaked at 88.97, indicating a high burden of supporting the population. Conversely, the ratio has been steadily decreasing to its current level of 58.02, ranking the country 84th globally. This trend is comparable to that of Slovenia, which has a dependency ratio of 58.33. The decline in Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio is likely due to improvements in healthcare and family planning, leading to lower fertility rates. As the population ages, the dependency ratio is expected to continue its downward trajectory, potentially driven by increased participation of older citizens in the workforce. However, a significant increase in labor force participation or a substantial shift in the age structure would be required to alter the trajectory of this trend.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 56.92 - -
2026* trend 57.47 - -
2025* trend 58.02 - -
2025 58.02 −0.57 #84
2024 58.59 −0.53 #136
2023 59.12 −0.53 #143
2022 59.65 −0.55 #145
2021 60.20 −0.60 #147
2020 60.80 −0.63 #150
2019 61.43 −0.66 #153
2018 62.08 −0.66 #153
2017 62.75 −0.66 #155
2016 63.40 −0.64 #156
2015 64.04 −0.64 #156
2014 64.68 −0.64 #158
2013 65.32 −0.64 #160
2012 65.96 −0.63 #159
2011 66.59 −0.64 #159
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +22.9% GDP growth 5.7% C/A balance 14.4%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Papua New Guinea matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio?▾

Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio was 58.02 in 2025. Ranked 84th globally. This represents a 1.0% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Papua New Guinea?▾

Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio peaked at 88.97 in 1972.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Papua New Guinea?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Papua New Guinea was 58.02 in 2025.

How does Papua New Guinea rank in dependency ratio?▾

Papua New Guinea ranks 84th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Papua New Guinea in 2025?▾

Papua New Guinea's dependency ratio is projected to reach 58.02 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Papua New Guinea in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Papua New Guinea in 2025 was 58.02. This ranks 84th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Papua New Guinea Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 22, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/papua-new-guinea/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_papua-new-guinea_dependency-ratio, title = {Papua New Guinea Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/papua-new-guinea/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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