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Stagflation Risk

GDP growth below 2% combined with inflation above 8% and rising unemployment. The worst macro combination for policymakers.

4 occurrences detected, 1 successful

Inflation

221.3%

GDP growth

-0.8%

Unemployment

11.0%

Inflation

171.2%

GDP growth

-0.6%

Unemployment

11.1%

24 mo later

45.2%

Inflation

154.8%

GDP growth

-7.0%

Unemployment

12.7%

24 mo later

221.3%

Inflation

84.9%

GDP growth

-21.4%

Unemployment

13.3%

24 mo later

171.2%