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Philippines – Debt Service

Total debt service as a share of exports of goods, services, and primary income. Captures the burden of principal and interest payments on external debt. · World Bank
14.43% +2.17% from 2023 G20 rank: 63rd · all-time high: 43.89% (1982)

APA

Philippines Debt Service. HistorySaid. Retrieved March 10, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/philippines/debt-service

BibTeX

@misc{historysaid_philippines_debt-service,
  title = {Philippines Debt Service},
  url = {https://historysaid.com/philippines/debt-service},
  publisher = {HistorySaid},
  year = {2026}
}
Data & Projection
YearValueChangeRank
2027* trend 15.39%
2026* trend 14.64%
2025* trend 13.89%
2024 14.43% +2.17% 63rd
2023 12.26% +3.67% 57th
2022 8.59% −3.59% 38th
2021 12.18% +1.46% 50th
2020 10.72% +0.97% 38th
2019 9.76% +0.04% 49th
2018 9.71% −2.75% 49th
2017 12.46% −0.53% 65th
2016 12.99% −6.16% 63rd
2015 19.15% +9.49% 87th
Show all years (1977–2024)
* Linear trend extrapolation from last 5 data points
Detected Pattern
Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +11.5% GDP growth 6.9% C/A balance 2.7%
This pattern occurred 682 times in G20 history, 460 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%
Reserves YoY
+20.1%
GDP growth
2.8%
C/A balance
3.3%
HistorySaid – pattern alert

Philippines matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2012. Historically, 67% of countries showing this pattern (460 out of 682) saw debt service improve within 24 months. View full analysis →