Tajikistan Birth Rate
Crude birth rate per 1,000 people SP.DYN.CBRT.IN
Tajikistan's birth rate was 24.7 in 2025, ranked 49th globally. This represents a 5.4% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Tajikistan's birth rate stood at 24.7 in 2025, a decline of +1.4 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 24.7 by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 49th globally.
Tajikistan’s birth rate has undergone a significant decline over the past six decades, falling from an all-time peak of 47.71 births per 1,000 people in 1961 to 24.73 in 2025, the lowest recorded level in the country’s history. This downward trajectory reflects broader demographic shifts associated with urbanization, improved healthcare, and increased access to education, particularly for women. Over the 65-year period of available data, the country has seen its fertility levels nearly halve, aligning more closely with global trends toward lower birth rates. In 2025, Tajikistan ranked 49th globally, placing it in proximity to peer nations such as Namibia (24.53) and Botswana (24.39), countries with similar demographic profiles despite differing regional contexts. The convergence with these nations suggests that structural factors, including economic development and family planning policies, are likely influencing fertility patterns. While the birth rate has stabilized in recent years, future changes in socioeconomic conditions, public health initiatives, or government policies on family support could alter the current trajectory, potentially slowing or reversing the decline.
Data & projection
| Year | Birth Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 24.0 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 24.7 | - | - |
| 2025 | 24.7 | −1.4 | #49 |
| 2023 | 26.1 | −0.9 | #170 |
| 2022 | 27.0 | −0.7 | #172 |
| 2021 | 27.7 | −0.6 | #173 |
| 2020 | 28.4 | −0.8 | #173 |
| 2019 | 29.2 | −0.3 | #175 |
| 2018 | 29.5 | −0.2 | #176 |
| 2017 | 29.7 | −1.3 | #172 |
| 2016 | 30.9 | −1.1 | #174 |
| 2015 | 32.0 | −0.2 | #176 |
| 2014 | 32.2 | +0.1 | #174 |
| 2013 | 32.1 | +0.1 | #172 |
| 2012 | 32.0 | −0.2 | #169 |
| 2011 | 32.2 | +0.2 | #169 |
| 2010 | 32.0 | +0.6 | #169 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw birth rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Tajikistan's birth rate was 24.7 in 2025. Ranked 49th globally. This represents a 5.4% decrease from the previous year.
Tajikistan's birth rate peaked at 47.7 in 1961.
The lowest birth rate in Tajikistan was 24.7 in 2025.
Tajikistan ranks 49th globally in birth rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.CBRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tajikistan's birth rate is projected to reach 24.7 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The birth rate of Tajikistan in 2025 was 24.7. This ranks 49th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_birth-rate,
title = {Tajikistan Birth Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/birth-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}