Tajikistan Population Growth
Annual population growth rate SP.POP.GROW
Tajikistan's population growth was 1.84% in 2025, ranked 63rd globally. This represents a 4.1% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1961–2025.
Overview
Tajikistan's population growth stood at 1.84% in 2025, a decline of +0.08pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.84% by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 63rd globally.
Tajikistan’s population growth rate in 2025 stood at 1.84 percent, placing the country 63rd worldwide and closely matching the recent performances of Ghana (1.85 percent) and Armenia (1.82 percent). Over the 65‑year series from 1961, the Tajik growth trajectory has fallen from an early‑period peak of 3.25 percent to an all‑time high of 3.50 percent recorded in 1988, before collapsing to a trough of 0.52 percent in 1999. The post‑1990s decline coincided with the disruption of the Soviet dissolution, high out‑migration, and a sharp slowdown in fertility, while the modest rebound to the present level reflects gradual improvements in health services and a modest rise in birth rates. Despite the recent uptick, the growth rate remains well below the 1980s peak, suggesting that unless economic opportunities expand and out‑migration slows, Tajikistan is likely to maintain a low‑single‑digit expansion pace in the coming decade.
Data & projection
| Year | Population Growth | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027* trend | 1.66% | - | - |
| 2026* trend | 1.75% | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.84% | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.84% | −0.08pp | #63 |
| 2024 | 1.92% | −0.10pp | #162 |
| 2023 | 2.02% | −0.12pp | #161 |
| 2022 | 2.14% | −0.07pp | #170 |
| 2021 | 2.21% | −0.07pp | #179 |
| 2020 | 2.28% | −0.09pp | #177 |
| 2019 | 2.36% | −0.04pp | #179 |
| 2018 | 2.41% | −0.05pp | #178 |
| 2017 | 2.45% | −0.08pp | #180 |
| 2016 | 2.53% | −0.02pp | #180 |
| 2015 | 2.56% | +0.05pp | #177 |
| 2014 | 2.51% | +0.01pp | #173 |
| 2013 | 2.50% | +0.11pp | #172 |
| 2012 | 2.39% | +0.16pp | #165 |
| 2011 | 2.23% | +0.09pp | #166 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw population growth improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Tajikistan's population growth was 1.84% in 2025. Ranked 63rd globally. This represents a 4.1% decrease from the previous year.
Tajikistan's population growth peaked at 3.50% in 1988.
The lowest population growth in Tajikistan was 0.52% in 1999.
Tajikistan ranks 63rd globally in population growth as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.GROW. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tajikistan's population growth is projected to reach 1.84% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The population growth of Tajikistan in 2025 was 1.84%. This ranks 63rd in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_population-growth,
title = {Tajikistan Population Growth},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/population-growth/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}