Tajikistan Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
Tajikistan's fertility rate was 2.97 in 2025, ranked 56th globally. This represents a 3.3% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Tajikistan's fertility rate stood at 2.97 in 2025, a decline of +0.10 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 2.97 by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 56th globally.
Tajikistan’s fertility rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year span from 6.24 in 1960 to a trough of 2.97 in 2025, the lowest level recorded and placing the country 56th globally. The peak of 6.91 in 1968 marked the height of post‑war demographic expansion, after which a steady decline set in, mirroring broader regional shifts toward smaller families as education and urbanisation increased. By 2025 the rate is only marginally below that of Papua New Guinea (2.99) and slightly above the Marshall Islands (2.87), suggesting Tajikistan now sits among nations with modest but still above‑replacement fertility. The long‑term downward trajectory reflects sustained improvements in women’s health services and the diffusion of contraceptive use, yet the rate remains above the replacement threshold of 2.1, indicating population growth will continue in the near term. Continued investment in reproductive health and further socioeconomic development could push the fertility rate closer to replacement levels in the coming decades.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 2.92 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 2.97 | - | - |
| 2025 | 2.97 | −0.10 | #56 |
| 2023 | 3.07 | −0.05 | #162 |
| 2022 | 3.13 | −0.04 | #162 |
| 2021 | 3.17 | −0.04 | #161 |
| 2020 | 3.21 | −0.07 | #163 |
| 2019 | 3.28 | −0.01 | #163 |
| 2018 | 3.29 | +0.00 | #162 |
| 2017 | 3.29 | −0.09 | #161 |
| 2016 | 3.38 | −0.08 | #164 |
| 2015 | 3.46 | +0.00 | #163 |
| 2014 | 3.46 | +0.03 | #162 |
| 2013 | 3.43 | +0.01 | #160 |
| 2012 | 3.42 | −0.04 | #161 |
| 2011 | 3.46 | −0.00 | #160 |
| 2010 | 3.46 | +0.03 | #160 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Tajikistan's fertility rate was 2.97 in 2025. Ranked 56th globally. This represents a 3.3% decrease from the previous year.
Tajikistan's fertility rate peaked at 6.91 in 1968.
The lowest fertility rate in Tajikistan was 2.97 in 2025.
Tajikistan ranks 56th globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tajikistan's fertility rate is projected to reach 2.97 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of Tajikistan in 2025 was 2.97. This ranks 56th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_fertility-rate,
title = {Tajikistan Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}