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Tajikistan Credit to GDP

Domestic credit to private sector as % of GDP  FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS

Tajikistan's credit to gdp was 10.99% in 2025, ranked 139th globally. This represents a 10.1% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 2008–2025.

10.99% −1.24% (-10.1%)
Year 2025 Rank #139 Global Peak 26.83% (2008) Source World Bank

Tajikistan Credit to GDP (2008–2025)

Overview

Tajikistan's credit to gdp stood at 10.99% in 2025, a decline of +1.24% from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 10.99% by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 139th globally.

Tajikistan’s credit‑to‑GDP ratio has contracted sharply over the past decade, falling from an all‑time peak of 26.83 % in 2008 to a trough of 10.34 % in 2021 before modestly rebounding to 10.99 % in 2025, placing the country 139th globally. The 17‑year series reflects a sustained reduction in external borrowing and a shift toward domestic financing, a pattern echoed in peer economies such as Liberia (11.58 % in 2025) and Guinea‑Bissau (10.78 %). The post‑2021 uptick suggests limited new credit inflows, possibly driven by modest fiscal consolidation and modest growth in private sector demand. While the ratio remains low relative to regional averages, any resurgence in investment‑driven lending or external debt financing could lift the metric, whereas continued fiscal prudence would likely keep the trajectory flat or slightly downward.

Data & projection

Year Credit to GDP YoY change Rank
2026* trend 10.85% - -
2025* trend 10.99% - -
2025 10.99% −1.24% #139
2023 12.22% +1.81% #16
2022 10.42% +0.07% #14
2021 10.34% −2.69% #15
2020 13.03% +1.45% #19
2019 11.58% −0.36% #16
2018 11.94% −1.07% #16
2017 13.01% −6.08% #19
2016 19.10% −2.48% #37
2015 21.57% −0.20% #42
2014 21.78% +3.23% #44
2013 18.54% +3.89% #41
2012 14.65% −1.39% #32
2011 16.04% +1.87% #38
2010 14.17% −8.67% #34
Show all years (2008-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +54.0% GDP growth 8.0% C/A balance 15.3%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw credit to gdp improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tajikistan's credit to gdp?▾

Tajikistan's credit to gdp was 10.99% in 2025. Ranked 139th globally. This represents a 10.1% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest credit to gdp in Tajikistan?▾

Tajikistan's credit to gdp peaked at 26.83% in 2008.

What was the lowest credit to gdp in Tajikistan?▾

The lowest credit to gdp in Tajikistan was 10.34% in 2021.

How does Tajikistan rank in credit to gdp?▾

Tajikistan ranks 139th globally in credit to gdp as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for credit to gdp?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected credit to gdp of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

Tajikistan's credit to gdp is projected to reach 10.99% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the credit to gdp of Tajikistan in 2025?▾

The credit to gdp of Tajikistan in 2025 was 10.99%. This ranks 139th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Tajikistan Credit to GDP. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/credit-to-gdp/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_credit-to-gdp, title = {Tajikistan Credit to GDP}, url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/credit-to-gdp/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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