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Tajikistan Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Tajikistan's real interest rate was 19.19% in 2019, ranked 113th globally. This represents a 20.4% decrease from 2018. Data from World Bank, covering 2002–2019.

19.19% −4.91pp (-20.4%)
Year 2019 Rank #113 Global Peak 24.27% (2016) Source World Bank

Tajikistan Real Interest Rate (2002–2019)

Overview

Tajikistan's real interest rate stood at 19.19% in 2019, a decline of +4.91pp from 2018. Tajikistan ranked 113th globally.

Tajikistan’s real interest rate has risen sharply since the early 2000s, moving from a trough of –8.15 % in 2003 to an all‑time peak of 24.27 % in 2016, before settling at 19.19 % in 2019, which ranks the country 113th globally. The 18‑year coverage shows a pronounced upward trajectory that coincides with tighter monetary conditions and higher inflation expectations during the post‑global‑financial‑crisis period. Compared with peers of similar rank, Tajikistan’s rate is slightly lower than the Democratic Republic of Congo’s 24.99 % and higher than Azerbaijan’s 17.54 %, suggesting a relatively expansive stance within this group. The early‑2000s negative real rates reflected accommodative policy aimed at spurring growth, while the 2016 peak aligned with a broader regional shift toward fiscal consolidation. If inflation pressures ease and external financing conditions improve, the real interest rate may gradually decline, moderating the current high‑rate environment.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2019 19.19% −4.91pp #113
2018 24.10% +6.03pp #117
2017 18.07% −6.20pp #127
2016 24.27% +6.52pp #130
2015 17.75% −1.11pp #116
2014 18.87% −1.11pp #131
2013 19.98% +11.73pp #139
2012 8.25% +0.18pp #98
2011 8.06% −1.66pp #105
2010 9.73% +0.37pp #107
2009 9.36% +12.92pp #78
2008 -3.57% −0.20pp #27
2007 -3.36% −5.92pp #8
2006 2.55% −10.02pp #49
2005 12.57% +10.12pp #115
Show all years (2002-2019)

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +54.0% GDP growth 8.0% C/A balance 15.3%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tajikistan's real interest rate?▾

Tajikistan's real interest rate was 19.19% in 2019. Ranked 113th globally. This represents a 20.4% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Tajikistan?▾

Tajikistan's real interest rate peaked at 24.27% in 2016.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Tajikistan?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Tajikistan was -8.15% in 2003.

How does Tajikistan rank in real interest rate?▾

Tajikistan ranks 113th globally in real interest rate as of 2019.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the real interest rate of Tajikistan in 2019?▾

The real interest rate of Tajikistan in 2019 was 19.19%. This ranks 113th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Tajikistan Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_real-interest-rate, title = {Tajikistan Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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