United Arab Emirates Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate SP.DYN.TFRT.IN
United Arab Emirates's fertility rate was 1.12 in 2025, ranked 201st globally. This represents a 7.1% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
United Arab Emirates's fertility rate stood at 1.12 in 2025, a decline of +0.08 from 2023. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 1.12 by 2025. United Arab Emirates ranked 201st globally.
The United Arab Emirates’ fertility rate has fallen dramatically over the 65‑year span from 6.50 in 1960 to a historic low of 1.12 in 2025, the lowest among 201 countries worldwide. The all‑time peak of 6.53 occurred in 1968, shortly after independence, when the population was still largely composed of native families and labor migration was minimal. Since the 1970s, rapid economic development, extensive expatriate inflows and rising female education have driven a sustained decline, bringing the rate below replacement level and positioning the UAE alongside Japan (1.13) and Andorra (1.10) at the bottom of the global ranking. The trough of 1.12 in 2025 reflects both the demographic transition and policy shifts encouraging smaller families. If the government expands pro‑family incentives and improves work‑life balance, the downward trajectory could modestly ease, but absent such measures the fertility rate is likely to remain near the current trough for the foreseeable future.
Data & projection
| Year | Fertility Rate | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026* trend | 1.09 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 1.12 | - | - |
| 2025 | 1.12 | −0.08 | #201 |
| 2023 | 1.20 | +0.05 | #16 |
| 2022 | 1.15 | −0.01 | #12 |
| 2021 | 1.16 | −0.13 | #12 |
| 2020 | 1.29 | +0.04 | #15 |
| 2019 | 1.25 | −0.04 | #12 |
| 2018 | 1.29 | −0.06 | #13 |
| 2017 | 1.35 | −0.02 | #15 |
| 2016 | 1.37 | −0.05 | #14 |
| 2015 | 1.42 | −0.07 | #23 |
| 2014 | 1.48 | −0.04 | #28 |
| 2013 | 1.53 | −0.01 | #38 |
| 2012 | 1.53 | −0.01 | #35 |
| 2011 | 1.54 | −0.03 | #35 |
| 2010 | 1.57 | −0.02 | #33 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
United Arab Emirates matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2024. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw fertility rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
United Arab Emirates's fertility rate was 1.12 in 2025. Ranked 201st globally. This represents a 7.1% decrease from the previous year.
United Arab Emirates's fertility rate peaked at 6.53 in 1968.
The lowest fertility rate in United Arab Emirates was 1.12 in 2025.
United Arab Emirates ranks 201st globally in fertility rate as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.DYN.TFRT.IN. Data sourced from World Bank.
United Arab Emirates's fertility rate is projected to reach 1.12 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The fertility rate of United Arab Emirates in 2025 was 1.12. This ranks 201st in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_united-arab-emirates_fertility-rate,
title = {United Arab Emirates Fertility Rate},
url = {https://historysaid.com/united-arab-emirates/fertility-rate/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}