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South Africa Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

South Africa's dependency ratio was 47.85 in 2025, ranked 162nd globally. This represents a 0.9% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

47.85 −0.46 (-0.9%)
Year 2025 Rank #162 Global Peak 84.66 (1971) Source World Bank

South Africa Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

South Africa's dependency ratio stood at 47.85 in 2025, a decline of +0.46 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 47.85 by 2025. South Africa ranked 162nd globally.

South Africa's dependency ratio, a measure of the proportion of the population that is dependent on the working-age population, has undergone significant changes over the past six and a half decades. The country's all-time peak of 84.66 in 1971, a reflection of its youthful population during the post-independence era, stood in stark contrast to its current status. As of 2025, the dependency ratio has declined to 47.85, ranking South Africa 162 globally. This decline is comparable to that of Viet Nam, which has a similar dependency ratio of 47.87. The decrease in South Africa's dependency ratio is likely due to a decline in fertility rates and an increase in life expectancy. However, a significant aging population and low fertility rates may pose challenges for the country's future workforce and social security systems. If South Africa's population continues to age at a rapid pace, the dependency ratio may experience an upward shift in the coming years.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 47.27 - -
2026* trend 47.56 - -
2025* trend 47.85 - -
2025 47.85 −0.46 #162
2024 48.31 −0.06 #55
2023 48.37 −0.18 #54
2022 48.55 −0.37 #57
2021 48.92 −0.58 #58
2020 49.50 −0.60 #63
2019 50.09 −0.58 #73
2018 50.68 −0.59 #77
2017 51.27 +0.21 #87
2016 51.06 +0.28 #86
2015 50.78 −0.36 #90
2014 51.14 −0.32 #97
2013 51.46 −0.41 #102
2012 51.87 −0.50 #106
2011 52.36 −0.66 #112
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +14.4% GDP growth 3.2% C/A balance 0.0%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

South Africa matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 1994. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is South Africa's dependency ratio?▾

South Africa's dependency ratio was 47.85 in 2025. Ranked 162nd globally. This represents a 0.9% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in South Africa?▾

South Africa's dependency ratio peaked at 84.66 in 1971.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in South Africa?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in South Africa was 47.85 in 2025.

How does South Africa rank in dependency ratio?▾

South Africa ranks 162nd globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of South Africa in 2025?▾

South Africa's dependency ratio is projected to reach 47.85 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of South Africa in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of South Africa in 2025 was 47.85. This ranks 162nd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
South Africa Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 19, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/south-africa/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_south-africa_dependency-ratio, title = {South Africa Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/south-africa/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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