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South Africa Net Migration

Net migration  SM.POP.NETM

South Africa's net migration was 146,370 in 2025, ranked 208th globally. This represents a 12.3% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

146,370 −20,602 (-12.3%)
Year 2025 Rank #208 Global Peak 641,150 (2015) Source World Bank

South Africa Net Migration (1960–2025)

Overview

South Africa's net migration stood at 146,370 in 2025, a decline of +20,602 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 39,600 by 2026. South Africa ranked 208th globally.

South Africa has experienced significant fluctuations in net migration over the past 66 years. The country witnessed a stark contrast between its all-time peak in 2015, with 641,150.00 individuals entering the country, and its all-time trough in 2016, with 879,235.00 people emigrating, resulting in a net outflow of 879,235.00. Despite this drastic decline, South Africa has gradually shown signs of recovery, with a net inflow of 146,370.00 individuals in 2025. Notably, Japan, ranked 140,579.00, has also shown a relatively stable net migration trend. South Africa's recovery may be attributed to various factors, including the country's growing economy and efforts to improve its business environment. However, the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with regional instability and economic uncertainty, may hinder South Africa's ability to sustain a positive net migration trend. A significant improvement in the country's economic prospects could potentially alter the trajectory of net migration, leading to increased inflows of skilled and unskilled workers.

Data & projection

Year Net Migration YoY change Rank
2028* trend -98,413 - -
2027* trend -29,407 - -
2026* trend 39,600 - -
2025 146,370 −20,602 #208
2024 166,972 −61,250 #206
2023 228,222 −5,062 #204
2022 233,284 −224,962 #201
2021 458,246 +88,345 #213
2020 369,901 +38,777 #215
2019 331,124 +12,864 #209
2018 318,260 −24,886 #206
2017 343,146 +1.2M #208
2016 -879,235 −1.5M #3
2015 641,150 +368,453 #212
2014 272,697 +40,467 #206
2013 232,230 −31,861 #203
2012 264,091 +198,925 #209
2011 65,166 −3,397 #188
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +14.4% GDP growth 3.2% C/A balance 0.0%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

South Africa matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 1994. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw net migration improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is South Africa's net migration?▾

South Africa's net migration was 146,370 in 2025. Ranked 208th globally. This represents a 12.3% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest net migration in South Africa?▾

South Africa's net migration peaked at 641,150 in 2015.

What was the lowest net migration in South Africa?▾

The lowest net migration in South Africa was -879,235 in 2016.

How does South Africa rank in net migration?▾

South Africa ranks 208th globally in net migration as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for net migration?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SM.POP.NETM. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected net migration of South Africa in 2026?▾

South Africa's net migration is projected to reach 39,600 by 2026 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the net migration of South Africa in 2025?▾

The net migration of South Africa in 2025 was 146,370. This ranks 208th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
South Africa Net Migration. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 21, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/south-africa/net-migration/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_south-africa_net-migration, title = {South Africa Net Migration}, url = {https://historysaid.com/south-africa/net-migration/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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