Tajikistan Dependency Ratio
Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population) SP.POP.DPND
Tajikistan's dependency ratio was 67.53 in 2025, ranked 49th globally. This represents a 0.8% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Tajikistan's dependency ratio stood at 67.53 in 2025, a rise of +0.55 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 67.53 by 2025. Tajikistan ranked 49th globally.
Tajikistan’s total dependency ratio stood at 67.53 in 2025, placing it 49th among the world’s economies and slightly above peers such as the Solomon Islands (67.26) and Tuvalu (66.61). The indicator, which measures the proportion of non‑working‑age persons to the working‑age population, has declined steadily from an all‑time peak of 96.02 in 1968, when the country’s demographic structure was heavily weighted toward children and the elderly, to a trough of 64.63 in 2016. Over the 66‑year series, the downward trajectory reflects both a reduction in birth rates and modest improvements in life expectancy that have reshaped the age composition. While the current ratio remains higher than that of neighboring Pakistan (68.78), the continued fall suggests a gradual easing of fiscal pressure on the labor force. Future shifts in fertility, migration and health outcomes will determine whether the ratio keeps moving toward the lower levels observed in the mid‑2010s.
Data & projection
| Year | Dependency Ratio | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2027* trend | 68.12 | - | - |
| 2026* trend | 67.83 | - | - |
| 2025* trend | 67.53 | - | - |
| 2025 | 67.53 | +0.55 | #49 |
| 2024 | 66.98 | −0.12 | #167 |
| 2023 | 67.10 | +0.26 | #165 |
| 2022 | 66.84 | +0.46 | #162 |
| 2021 | 66.38 | +0.53 | #162 |
| 2020 | 65.85 | +0.54 | #162 |
| 2019 | 65.31 | +0.43 | #160 |
| 2018 | 64.88 | +0.23 | #160 |
| 2017 | 64.65 | +0.01 | #157 |
| 2016 | 64.63 | −0.02 | #157 |
| 2015 | 64.65 | −0.14 | #158 |
| 2014 | 64.80 | −0.42 | #159 |
| 2013 | 65.22 | −0.53 | #159 |
| 2012 | 65.74 | −0.40 | #157 |
| 2011 | 66.15 | −0.53 | #157 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Tajikistan's dependency ratio was 67.53 in 2025. Ranked 49th globally. This represents a 0.8% increase from the previous year.
Tajikistan's dependency ratio peaked at 96.02 in 1968.
The lowest dependency ratio in Tajikistan was 64.63 in 2016.
Tajikistan ranks 49th globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tajikistan's dependency ratio is projected to reach 67.53 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.
The dependency ratio of Tajikistan in 2025 was 67.53. This ranks 49th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_dependency-ratio,
title = {Tajikistan Dependency Ratio},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/dependency-ratio/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}