Tajikistan Net Migration
Net migration SM.POP.NETM
Tajikistan's net migration was -21,606 in 2025, ranked 45th globally. This represents a 1.7% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.
Overview
Tajikistan's net migration stood at -21,606 in 2025, a decline of +370 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach -28,777 by 2026. Tajikistan ranked 45th globally.
Tajikistan’s net migration figure stands at –21,606.00 in 2025, placing the country 45th globally and indicating a persistent outflow of residents. The migration balance turned negative after a modest positive peak of 10,323.00 in 1968, when the nation recorded its highest net inflow, and subsequently fell to an all‑time trough of –119,621.00 in 1998, reflecting the combined impact of economic hardship, political instability and the post‑Soviet transition. Over the 66‑year series, the trend has shifted from modest attraction to sustained emigration, a pattern mirrored by peers such as Cuba (–22,244.00) and Kosovo (–18,380.00), which also rank among the world’s most negative net migration countries. The continued decline suggests that unless substantial improvements in domestic employment opportunities, infrastructure and governance occur, Tajikistan is likely to remain near the lower end of the migration balance spectrum in the coming years.
Data & projection
| Year | Net Migration | YoY change | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2028* trend | -36,841 | - | - |
| 2027* trend | -32,809 | - | - |
| 2026* trend | -28,777 | - | - |
| 2025 | -21,606 | −370 | #45 |
| 2024 | -21,236 | −1,237 | #43 |
| 2023 | -19,999 | −2,998 | #39 |
| 2022 | -17,001 | −13,437 | #38 |
| 2021 | -3,564 | +0 | #76 |
| 2020 | -3,564 | +5,477 | #71 |
| 2019 | -9,041 | −2,930 | #65 |
| 2018 | -6,111 | −2,018 | #68 |
| 2017 | -4,093 | +4,117 | #78 |
| 2016 | -8,210 | −550 | #63 |
| 2015 | -7,660 | +6,302 | #74 |
| 2014 | -13,962 | +2,400 | #61 |
| 2013 | -16,362 | −4,230 | #57 |
| 2012 | -12,132 | +18,651 | #65 |
| 2011 | -30,783 | +2,950 | #44 |
Detected Pattern
Analysis
Tajikistan matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2022. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw net migration improve within 24 months. View full analysis →
Frequently Asked Questions
Tajikistan's net migration was -21,606 in 2025. Ranked 45th globally. This represents a 1.7% decrease from the previous year.
Tajikistan's net migration peaked at 10,323 in 1968.
The lowest net migration in Tajikistan was -119,621 in 1998.
Tajikistan ranks 45th globally in net migration as of 2025.
The World Bank indicator code is SM.POP.NETM. Data sourced from World Bank.
Tajikistan's net migration is projected to reach -28,777 by 2026 based on trend extrapolation.
The net migration of Tajikistan in 2025 was -21,606. This ranks 45th in the world.
Cite this page
@misc{historysaid_tajikistan_net-migration,
title = {Tajikistan Net Migration},
url = {https://historysaid.com/tajikistan/net-migration/},
publisher = {HistorySaid},
year = {2026}
}