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Romania Real Interest Rate

Real interest rate  FR.INR.RINR

Romania's real interest rate was -3.63% in 2025, ranked 81st globally. This represents a 383.8% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1993–2025.

-3.63% −2.88pp (-383.8%)
Year 2025 Rank #81 Global Peak 12.67% (2009) Source World Bank

Romania Real Interest Rate (1993–2025)

Overview

Romania's real interest rate stood at -3.63% in 2025, a decline of +2.88pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach -3.63% by 2025. Romania ranked 81st globally.

Romania's real interest rate has exhibited significant fluctuations over the past three decades. At its lowest point in 1993, the real interest rate plummeted to -43.05%, a stark contrast to the peak of 12.67% reached in 2009. The latest figure, -3.63%, positions Romania's real interest rate at 81st globally. A comparison with peer countries reveals that Romania's rate is slightly lower than that of Angola, which stood at -3.47% in 2025. The sharp decline in real interest rates from the 1993 trough to the 2009 peak suggests an improvement in the country's economic conditions during this period. However, the current negative real interest rate may indicate persistent economic challenges. A sustained economic recovery, coupled with successful monetary policy adjustments, could potentially shift the trend and drive Romania's real interest rate towards more positive territory.

Data & projection

Year Real Interest Rate YoY change Rank
2027* trend -5.39% - -
2026* trend -4.51% - -
2025* trend -3.63% - -
2025 -3.63% −2.88pp #81
2024 -0.75% +1.95pp #7
2023 -2.70% +1.13pp #14
2022 -3.83% −3.84pp #24
2021 0.01% −2.28pp #39
2020 2.29% +2.10pp #23
2019 0.18% −0.41pp #10
2018 0.59% −0.28pp #18
2017 0.87% −2.14pp #28
2016 3.01% −0.38pp #30
2015 3.39% −3.25pp #34
2014 6.64% −2.36pp #69
2013 9.00% +1.76pp #101
2012 7.24% −0.59pp #86
2011 7.83% +0.15pp #103
Show all years (1993-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 10.4% Real rate -2.7%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Romania matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2023. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw real interest rate improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Romania's real interest rate?▾

Romania's real interest rate was -3.63% in 2025. Ranked 81st globally. This represents a 383.8% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest real interest rate in Romania?▾

Romania's real interest rate peaked at 12.67% in 2009.

What was the lowest real interest rate in Romania?▾

The lowest real interest rate in Romania was -43.05% in 1993.

How does Romania rank in real interest rate?▾

Romania ranks 81st globally in real interest rate as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for real interest rate?▾

The World Bank indicator code is FR.INR.RINR. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected real interest rate of Romania in 2025?▾

Romania's real interest rate is projected to reach -3.63% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the real interest rate of Romania in 2025?▾

The real interest rate of Romania in 2025 was -3.63%. This ranks 81st in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Romania Real Interest Rate. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/romania/real-interest-rate/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_romania_real-interest-rate, title = {Romania Real Interest Rate}, url = {https://historysaid.com/romania/real-interest-rate/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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