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Azerbaijan External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Azerbaijan's external debt to gni was 10.30% in 2025, ranked 112th globally. This represents a 39.6% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1993–2025.

10.30% −6.75pp (-39.6%)
Year 2025 Rank #112 Global Peak 40.66% (2016) Source World Bank

Azerbaijan External Debt to GNI (1993–2025)

Overview

Azerbaijan's external debt to gni stood at 10.30% in 2025, a decline of +6.75pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 10.30% by 2025. Azerbaijan ranked 112th globally.

Azerbaijan’s external debt-to‑GNI ratio has risen sharply from a low of 2.26 % in 1993, the earliest year in the 33‑year series, to a peak of 40.66 % in 2016, before easing to 10.30 % in 2025, placing the country 112th globally. The steep climb in the mid‑2010s reflected heightened borrowing to finance large‑scale energy projects and infrastructure upgrades, while the subsequent decline aligns with higher oil prices, fiscal consolidation and debt‑service repayments. Compared with peers of similar rank, Botswana’s ratio stands at 11.79 % and China’s at 12.18 %, indicating that Azerbaijan’s current level remains modest relative to these economies despite its earlier surge. The downward movement since the 2016 apex suggests improving external financing conditions, yet any future slowdown in hydrocarbon revenues or external shocks could reverse the trend, making debt sustainability a key focus for policymakers.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 0.19% - -
2026* trend 5.24% - -
2025* trend 10.30% - -
2025 10.30% −6.75pp #112
2024 17.04% −4.57pp #12
2023 21.62% +0.59pp #14
2022 21.02% −7.99pp #15
2021 29.01% −9.61pp #24
2020 38.62% +3.13pp #40
2019 35.49% −1.22pp #43
2018 36.71% −2.20pp #48
2017 38.90% −1.75pp #55
2016 40.66% +15.00pp #60
2015 25.65% +9.07pp #34
2014 16.58% +1.54pp #15
2013 15.04% −1.48pp #9
2012 16.52% +3.95pp #16
2011 12.57% −2.08pp #10
Show all years (1993-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 13.9% Real rate -16.5%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Azerbaijan matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2022. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Azerbaijan's external debt to gni?▾

Azerbaijan's external debt to gni was 10.30% in 2025. Ranked 112th globally. This represents a 39.6% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Azerbaijan?▾

Azerbaijan's external debt to gni peaked at 40.66% in 2016.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Azerbaijan?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Azerbaijan was 2.26% in 1993.

How does Azerbaijan rank in external debt to gni?▾

Azerbaijan ranks 112th globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Azerbaijan in 2025?▾

Azerbaijan's external debt to gni is projected to reach 10.30% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Azerbaijan in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Azerbaijan in 2025 was 10.30%. This ranks 112th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Azerbaijan External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/azerbaijan/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_azerbaijan_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Azerbaijan External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/azerbaijan/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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