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Mozambique External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Mozambique's external debt to gni was 320.48% in 2025, ranked 2nd globally. This represents a 8.6% decrease from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1991–2025.

320.48% −30.10pp (-8.6%)
Year 2025 Rank #2 Global Peak 432.22% (2020) Source World Bank

Mozambique External Debt to GNI (1991–2025)

Overview

Mozambique's external debt to gni stood at 320.48% in 2025, a decline of +30.10pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 320.48% by 2025. Mozambique ranked 2nd globally.

Mozambique’s external debt-to‑gross national income ratio has risen sharply over the 35‑year series, climbing from 124.62 % in 1991 to a record 432.22 % in 2020 before easing to 320.48 % in 2025, the second‑highest level worldwide. The all‑time trough of 51.86 % in 2008 marked a brief period of fiscal consolidation, but subsequent borrowing for infrastructure and social programmes accelerated the debt trajectory, pushing the ratio above 400 % during the COVID‑19 pandemic. By contrast, peer Lebanon recorded a far higher 461.43 % in the same year, while Senegal’s 169.05 % illustrates a more moderate debt burden among comparable economies. The persistent upward path suggests that without substantial debt‑service reforms, fiscal tightening, or a surge in export earnings, Mozambique’s external debt ratio is likely to remain elevated, with any reversal contingent on improved terms of financing and sustained growth.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 277.48% - -
2026* trend 298.98% - -
2025* trend 320.48% - -
2025 320.48% −30.10pp #2
2024 350.57% −4.80pp #110
2023 355.37% −24.26pp #116
2022 379.63% −27.40pp #118
2021 407.03% −25.19pp #118
2020 432.22% +67.71pp #118
2019 364.51% +19.43pp #118
2018 345.09% −17.87pp #119
2017 362.95% −3.81pp #119
2016 366.76% +125.15pp #119
2015 241.62% +47.11pp #119
2014 194.51% +25.44pp #116
2013 169.07% +49.95pp #116
2012 119.12% +25.37pp #114
2011 93.76% −7.86pp #110
Show all years (1991-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Orthodox Tightening Cycle
Inflation above 40%, lending rate above 30%, rate-inflation gap narrowing, reserves stable or rising. Signals credible monetary tightening.
Inflation 15.1% Rate 27.9% Gap +12.7pp Reserves YoY +64.2%
Occurred 311 times, 177 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Rate
19.4%
Gap
-8.8pp
Reserves YoY
+2.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Rate
61.7%
Gap
-158.2pp
Reserves YoY
+28.1%
Inflation
28.3%
Rate
24.3%
Gap
-4.0pp
Reserves YoY
+35.8%
Inflation
33.9%
Rate
17.8%
Gap
-16.1pp
Reserves YoY
+2.9%
Inflation
17.0%
Rate
20.8%
Gap
+3.8pp
Reserves YoY
+1.5%
Inflation
17.1%
Rate
15.3%
Gap
-1.8pp
Reserves YoY
+10.9%

Analysis

Mozambique matched the Orthodox Tightening Cycle pattern in 2017. Historically, 57% of countries showing this pattern (177 out of 311) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Mozambique's external debt to gni?▾

Mozambique's external debt to gni was 320.48% in 2025. Ranked 2nd globally. This represents a 8.6% decrease from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Mozambique?▾

Mozambique's external debt to gni peaked at 432.22% in 2020.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Mozambique?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Mozambique was 51.86% in 2008.

How does Mozambique rank in external debt to gni?▾

Mozambique ranks 2nd globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Mozambique in 2025?▾

Mozambique's external debt to gni is projected to reach 320.48% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Mozambique in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Mozambique in 2025 was 320.48%. This ranks 2nd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Mozambique External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved November 11, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/mozambique/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_mozambique_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Mozambique External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/mozambique/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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