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Hong Kong SAR, China Dependency Ratio

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population)  SP.POP.DPND

Hong Kong SAR, China's dependency ratio was 51.17 in 2025, ranked 143rd globally. This represents a 3.1% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1960–2025.

51.17 +1.53 (+3.1%)
Year 2025 Rank #143 Global Peak 108.24 (1963) Source World Bank

Hong Kong SAR, China Dependency Ratio (1960–2025)

Overview

Hong Kong SAR, China's dependency ratio stood at 51.17 in 2025, a rise of +1.53 from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 51.17 by 2025. Hong Kong SAR, China ranked 143rd globally.

Hong Kong SAR’s dependency ratio has fallen sharply from an all‑time peak of 108.24 in 1963 to a trough of 33.92 in 2011, reflecting rapid demographic transition driven by low fertility and rising life expectancy. By 2025 the ratio stands at 51.17, placing the territory 143rd in the world and closely aligning with peers such as Nicaragua (51.37) and Morocco (50.94). The long‑term decline over the 66‑year series illustrates a shrinking proportion of non‑working age residents relative to the labor force, a pattern that coincides with the city’s post‑industrial economic restructuring and the expansion of higher‑education participation. Nevertheless, the modest uptick from the 2011 low suggests a gradual ageing of the population as the post‑baby‑boom cohort enters retirement age. Future shifts in immigration policy, fertility incentives, or health‑care advances will be decisive in determining whether Hong Kong’s dependency ratio resumes its downward trajectory or begins to rise again.

Data & projection

Year Dependency Ratio YoY change Rank
2027* trend 54.45 - -
2026* trend 52.81 - -
2025* trend 51.17 - -
2025 51.17 +1.53 #143
2024 49.64 +1.84 #62
2023 47.81 +1.62 #53
2022 46.19 +1.60 #46
2021 44.59 +1.52 #39
2020 43.07 +1.35 #30
2019 41.71 +1.31 #28
2018 40.40 +1.27 #25
2017 39.13 +1.22 #20
2016 37.91 +1.07 #14
2015 36.84 +0.99 #11
2014 35.85 +0.89 #9
2013 34.96 +0.71 #9
2012 34.25 +0.33 #9
2011 33.92 −0.18 #8
Show all years (1960-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Export Boom Cycle
Current account surplus with strong export growth (>15% YoY), reserve accumulation, and moderate GDP growth. Typical of commodity exporters during price surges.
Reserves YoY +11.7% GDP growth 3.8% C/A balance 4.6%
Occurred 768 times, 546 successful
Reserves YoY
+25.6%
GDP growth
4.0%
C/A balance
14.5%
Reserves YoY
+14.6%
GDP growth
3.7%
C/A balance
2.9%
Reserves YoY
+12.8%
GDP growth
43.8%
C/A balance
16.4%
Reserves YoY
+12.6%
GDP growth
6.0%
C/A balance
0.5%
Reserves YoY
+38.3%
GDP growth
5.0%
C/A balance
1.2%
Reserves YoY
+18.0%
GDP growth
2.9%
C/A balance
3.9%

Analysis

Hong Kong SAR, China matched the Export Boom Cycle pattern in 2017. Historically, 71% of countries showing this pattern (546 out of 768) saw dependency ratio improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Hong Kong SAR, China's dependency ratio?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China's dependency ratio was 51.17 in 2025. Ranked 143rd globally. This represents a 3.1% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest dependency ratio in Hong Kong SAR, China?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China's dependency ratio peaked at 108.24 in 1963.

What was the lowest dependency ratio in Hong Kong SAR, China?▾

The lowest dependency ratio in Hong Kong SAR, China was 33.92 in 2011.

How does Hong Kong SAR, China rank in dependency ratio?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China ranks 143rd globally in dependency ratio as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for dependency ratio?▾

The World Bank indicator code is SP.POP.DPND. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected dependency ratio of Hong Kong SAR, China in 2025?▾

Hong Kong SAR, China's dependency ratio is projected to reach 51.17 by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the dependency ratio of Hong Kong SAR, China in 2025?▾

The dependency ratio of Hong Kong SAR, China in 2025 was 51.17. This ranks 143rd in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Hong Kong SAR, China Dependency Ratio. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 19, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/hong-kong-sar-china/dependency-ratio/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_hong-kong-sar-china_dependency-ratio, title = {Hong Kong SAR, China Dependency Ratio}, url = {https://historysaid.com/hong-kong-sar-china/dependency-ratio/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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