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Kenya External Debt to GNI

External debt stocks as % of GNI  DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS

Kenya's external debt to gni was 36.55% in 2025, ranked 67th globally. This represents a 4.5% increase from 2024. Data from World Bank, covering 1970–2025.

36.55% +1.56pp (+4.5%)
Year 2025 Rank #67 Global Peak 131.90% (1993) Source World Bank

Kenya External Debt to GNI (1970–2025)

Overview

Kenya's external debt to gni stood at 36.55% in 2025, a rise of +1.56pp from 2024. Based on recent trends, this figure is projected to reach 36.55% by 2025. Kenya ranked 67th globally.

Kenya’s external debt-to‑gross national income ratio stands at 36.55 % in 2025, placing the country at 67th position globally. The indicator has been tracked for 56 years, rising from an early‑record 30.21 % in 1970 to a dramatic peak of 131.90 % in 1993, a period marked by structural adjustment programmes and large external borrowings. A pronounced reversal occurred in the post‑global‑financial‑crisis era, when the ratio fell to a trough of 21.45 % in 2008 as fiscal consolidation and debt‑service relief measures took effect. Since then, the ratio has gradually climbed, remaining close to peers such as Honduras (37.31 %) and Belize (36.37 %). Continued improvements in debt‑management capacity, coupled with diversified financing sources, could moderate the upward trajectory, while any resurgence of fiscal deficits or external shocks would likely reverse the recent modest gains.

Data & projection

Year External Debt to GNI YoY change Rank
2027* trend 35.80% - -
2026* trend 36.17% - -
2025* trend 36.55% - -
2025 36.55% +1.56pp #67
2024 34.99% −5.43pp #35
2023 40.42% +3.55pp #47
2022 36.88% −1.23pp #36
2021 38.10% +0.06pp #39
2020 38.05% +2.64pp #36
2019 35.40% +0.79pp #41
2018 34.61% +1.12pp #44
2017 33.49% +4.96pp #40
2016 28.53% −2.77pp #36
2015 31.31% +3.39pp #44
2014 27.92% +2.64pp #44
2013 25.28% +1.70pp #42
2012 23.58% −0.36pp #38
2011 23.93% +1.64pp #39
Show all years (1970-2025)
* Linear trend extrapolation

Detected Pattern

Fiscal Dominance Trap
Government debt exceeding 80% of GDP with real interest rates negative and inflation above 10%. Monetary policy effectiveness impaired by fiscal pressures.
Inflation 26.2% Real rate -1.0%
Occurred 386 times, 278 successful
Inflation
28.2%
Real rate
-4.2%
Inflation
219.9%
Real rate
-47.4%
Inflation
28.3%
Real rate
-7.0%
Inflation
91.4%
Real rate
-26.9%
Inflation
13.6%
Real rate
-0.9%
Inflation
133.5%
Real rate
-17.3%

Analysis

Kenya matched the Fiscal Dominance Trap pattern in 2008. Historically, 72% of countries showing this pattern (278 out of 386) saw external debt to gni improve within 24 months. View full analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kenya's external debt to gni?▾

Kenya's external debt to gni was 36.55% in 2025. Ranked 67th globally. This represents a 4.5% increase from the previous year.

What was the highest external debt to gni in Kenya?▾

Kenya's external debt to gni peaked at 131.90% in 1993.

What was the lowest external debt to gni in Kenya?▾

The lowest external debt to gni in Kenya was 21.45% in 2008.

How does Kenya rank in external debt to gni?▾

Kenya ranks 67th globally in external debt to gni as of 2025.

What is the World Bank indicator code for external debt to gni?▾

The World Bank indicator code is DT.DOD.DECT.GN.ZS. Data sourced from World Bank.

What is the projected external debt to gni of Kenya in 2025?▾

Kenya's external debt to gni is projected to reach 36.55% by 2025 based on trend extrapolation.

What is the external debt to gni of Kenya in 2025?▾

The external debt to gni of Kenya in 2025 was 36.55%. This ranks 67th in the world.

Cite this page

APA
Kenya External Debt to GNI. HistorySaid. Retrieved October 31, 2026, from https://historysaid.com/kenya/external-debt-to-gni/
BibTeX
@misc{historysaid_kenya_external-debt-to-gni, title = {Kenya External Debt to GNI}, url = {https://historysaid.com/kenya/external-debt-to-gni/}, publisher = {HistorySaid}, year = {2026} }
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